Economist Poll - Bush 46%, Kerry 45%

[mddem2004]

The Economist Magazine's latest Poll:

http://economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovJ.pdf

The sampling size is extremly large, drawn from a "recruited panel" (whatever that means) weighted to reflect VAP -  not party ID if I understand them right.

Don't know magazines politics, or accuracy of methodology -  just saw so I posted......

[mddem2004]

Yeah....on the polling trends thing....it looks like Gallup, ICR, and now the Economist all have Bush up 1% in Registered Voters, does that equate to an approximate 3% Likely Voter gap?

[mddem2004]

Yeah....on the polling trends thing....it looks like Gallup, ICR, and now the Economist all have Bush up 1% in Registered Voters, does that equate to an approximate 3% Likely Voter gap?

Historically, the GOP does "about" 3% better in a LV poll than a RV poll.

This 3% differential is absolutely reliable... unless it isn't.

I Luv your "qualifiers"      Thanks