Canadian by-elections, 2016 (next event: Quebec provincial byelections [Dec 5])

[MaxQue]

Seems incumbent party wins in all 4.

Through, surprisingly, the closest one isn't Arthabaska or St-Jérôme, but Verdun. PQ-QS alliance would easily win, too. It's like 35 Liberal, 28 PQ, 20 QS.

[MaxQue]

PQ declared victory in Marie-Victorin, and I would call Arthabaska for the CAQ.

Seems Liberal in Verdun and PQ in St-Jérôme, but I would wait a bit to call them.

[MaxQue]

Marie-Victorin has a funny 2nd place race.

Currently: Liberal 425, CAQ 423, QS 422 (with PQ at 1496).

Radio-Canada called Arthabaska for the CAQ (and Marie-Victorin a while ago).

[MaxQue]

With 55/155, Liberal majority is only 287 over PQ. Keep an eye on that one.

[MaxQue]

Marie-Victorin continues the 3-way 2nd place tie:
QS 464, Liberal 463, CAQ 461 (with PQ at 1618).

[MaxQue]

With 55/155, Liberal majority is only 287 over PQ. Keep an eye on that one.

577 now.

[MaxQue]

St-Jérôme called for PQ.

[MaxQue]

TV is saying it depends if Nuns Island is counted yet or not. If it's not counted, Liberals are safe, if they are already counted, it might be a long night.

[MaxQue]

In any case, very bad night for Liberals, they are down in all ridings, and sometimes they lose half their share.

[MaxQue]

Keeping Verdun for the Liberals isn't really a good news, last time they lost it was in 1936.

[MaxQue]

Verdun called for Liberals.

[MaxQue]

Arthabaska (turnout: 43.14%)
Éric Lefebvre (CAQ) 11316 votes (43.96%; -1.53)
Luc Dastous (PLQ) 7095 votes (27.56%; -2.65)
Jacques Daigle (PQ) 4318 votes (16.77%; -0.30)
Guy Morin (Conservative) 1210 votes (4.70%; +3.59)
Sarah Beaudoin (QS) 929 votes (3.61%; -1.60)
Alex Tyrrell (Green) 543 votes (2.11%; +1.21)
Émilie Charbonneau (Option Nationale) 160 votes (0.62%)
Christine Lavoie (Independentist Party) 115 votes (0.45%)
Suzanne Cantin (Autonomist Team) 58 votes (0.23%)

Marie-Victorin (turnout: 25.71%)
Catherine Fournier (PQ) 6302 votes (52.49%; +14.32)
Carl Lévesque (QS) 1703 votes (14.19%; +2.63)
Julie Chapdelaine (CAQ) 1699 votes (14.15%; -6.45)
Normand Parisien (PLQ) 1613 votes (13.44%; -12.61)
Vincent Carbonneau (Green) 315 votes (2.62%; +0.30)
Fabien Villemaire (Option Nationale) 109 votes (0.91%; +0.11)
Roch Dumont (Labour) 101 votes (0.84%)
Hoang Nam Nguyen (Conservative) 90 votes (0.75%)
Shirley Cedent (Change Integrity for Our Québec) 30 votes (0.25%)
Florent Portron (Autonomist Team) 22 votes (0.18%; +0.04)
Étienne Turgeon Pelletier (Independentist Party) 21 votes (0.17%)

Saint-Jérôme (turnout: 33.95%)
Marc Bourcier (PQ) 9151 votes (46.25%; +9.44)
Bruno Laroche (CAQ) 7016 votes (35.46%; +3.94)
Naömie Goyette (PLQ) 2092 votes (10.57%; -9.39)
Marcel Gosselin (QS) 867 votes (4.38%; -6.38)
Émilianne Lépine (Green) 407 votes (2.06%)
Olivier Lamanque Galarneau (Option Nationale) 88 votes (0.44%; -0.10)
Sébastien Roy (Conservative) 67 votes (0.34%; -0.07)
Sengtiane Trempe (Independentist Party) 40 votes (0.20%)
Éric Émond (Change Integrity for Our Québec) 34 votes (0.17%)
Louis Chandonnet (Autonomist Team) 23 votes (0.12%)

Verdun (turnout: 29.15%)
Isabelle Melançon (PLQ) 5116 votes (35.61%; -14.98)
Richard Langlais (PQ) 3900 votes (27.15%; +2.78)
Véronique Martineau (QS) 2669 votes (18.58%; +8.93)
Ginette Marotte (CAQ) 1829 votes (12.73%; +0.50)
David Cox (Green) 615 votes (4.28%; +2.18)
Frédéric Dénommé (Option Nationale) 115 votes (0.80%; +0.33)
David Girard (Conservative) 94 votes (0.65%)
Sébastien Poirier (Autonomist Team) 27 votes (0.19%)