New poll hype thread (user search)
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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 93697 times)
KingSweden
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« on: September 12, 2016, 03:39:54 PM »
Quote from: Castro on September 12, 2016, 03:39:03 PM
PPP's VA poll is coming out tomorrow, and is a 7-8 on the Dem happiness scale.

Good. VA off the map is exactly what I need after this pneumonia idiocy
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2016, 12:12:13 PM »

Props
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2016, 09:54:38 AM »

I'm thinking T+3-4 or so
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2016, 10:33:23 AM »
Yikes. The state is a pretty good fit for him, though
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2016, 10:45:16 AM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on September 15, 2016, 10:41:38 AM
Quote from: KingSweden on September 15, 2016, 10:33:23 AM
Yikes. The state is a pretty good fit for him, though

Such a good fit that he almost finished third in the caucuses?

Cruz is a really, really good fit for the Vander Plaats crowd that dominates those caucuses, though
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5 on: September 19, 2016, 08:59:06 AM »
Quote from: F_S_USATN on September 19, 2016, 08:20:01 AM
Elon Poll ‏@elonpoll  14h14 hours ago
We'll be releasing numbers around 10am tomorrowtoday: Governor, Senate + #HB2. Presidential numbers on Tuesday morning

In case you havent had enough NC polls

There are never enough NC polls!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2016, 10:08:22 AM »
T + 5
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KingSweden
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« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2016, 01:06:22 PM »
Surprised pollsters give that much info im advance.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2016, 12:49:27 PM »
Clinton + 2 in NV
Trump +4 in IA
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KingSweden
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2016, 11:39:46 AM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on September 21, 2016, 11:33:03 AM
NBC/WSJ Nat'l: C+2

FOX:
NC: T+1
OH: T+2
NV: C+1

I'd say these are pretty much my predictions too
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KingSweden
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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2016, 12:11:10 PM »
Fox actually has pretty good polling. I think the state's they chose will be close or Trump leads based on the current CV but Fox isn't known for bias in polling. Gravis it is not
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KingSweden
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« Reply #11 on: September 21, 2016, 01:24:36 PM »
Was there a Pew survey released today? 538 had a (heavily adjusted) one showing C+7 appearing in the national poll updates
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KingSweden
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« Reply #12 on: September 21, 2016, 01:48:51 PM »
Quote from: dspNY on September 21, 2016, 01:37:46 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on September 21, 2016, 01:24:36 PM
Was there a Pew survey released today? 538 had a (heavily adjusted) one showing C+7 appearing in the national poll updates

I saw that...Nate Silver adjusting a Pew poll 4 points to the Republicans is a crooked move on his part because Pew is almost unerring (at most it is D+1)

I'd get him giving it lower weight since it was conducted a while ago, but Pew shouldn't have been skewed when C+4 (first sign of tightening) and shouldn't be skewed now
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KingSweden
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« Reply #13 on: September 22, 2016, 01:09:25 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 22, 2016, 01:05:31 PM
Previous Q polls (8/9-16):

CO: C+10 (49-39)
VA: C+12 (50-38)
IA: C+3 (47-44)

I didn't find one for Georgia.

We'll definitely see Clinton about 4-5 points down in each, in that case. Probably more stable in CO/VA than IA
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KingSweden
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2016, 07:24:10 PM »
MO T+8
CO C+5
VA C+7
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KingSweden
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« Reply #15 on: September 25, 2016, 10:42:20 PM »
Man, we really need a Tennessee poll
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KingSweden
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« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2016, 11:27:20 AM »


Heh my exact prediction
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