Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 26121 times)
Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« on: April 19, 2016, 03:16:12 PM »
« edited: April 19, 2016, 03:17:52 PM by Mehmentum »

Way to play that expectations game buddy. 

Also: 'Do just fine' is Sanders speak for losing.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 03:49:57 PM »

I wonder if DDHQ is gonna call it for Sanders when the polls close LOOOOOL

It's possible every media outlet will.
Define 'possible'.  A Sanders victory would be a huge surprise, but still within the realm of possibility.  A Sanders victory so large that it gets called the moment polls close is not.

It would have to be a double digit win, and a large one at that considering the networks would be very hesitant to make a such a surprising call until at least some results come in.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 03:57:33 PM »

The worst part is that was probably a provisional ballot.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 04:07:38 PM »

The "anecdotal turnout reports" phase of election day is the worst.
Don't worry!  We're almost into the 'deciphering ambiguous exit poll results' part of election day! Wink
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2016, 04:09:38 PM »

21% of the Democratic electorate is black, vs. 16% in 2008.
31% Very Liberal according to MSNBC
As if on cue.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2016, 05:33:21 PM »

Considering these results are almost exclusively NYC, I'm actually thinking these results are pretty bad for Clinton. (standard warnings about early exits apply)
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2016, 05:43:15 PM »

Considering these results are almost exclusively NYC, I'm actually thinking these results are pretty bad for Clinton. (standard warnings about early exits apply)

We know it's NYC?

Apparently.
From ABC:

Caution: Exit poll results this evening may change significantly after 9 p.m.

This is because polling places in 50 of the state’s counties – outside the New York City area and Buffalo – opened at noon. People in those counties with day jobs can’t vote until after work, so they won’t be included in early exit poll results.

We don’t know if this will change the post-9 p.m. exit poll data, but it could. So consider the data that are available from 5-9 p.m. as especially preliminary, and check back for updates.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2016, 05:48:46 PM »

Considering these results are almost exclusively NYC, I'm actually thinking these results are pretty bad for Clinton. (standard warnings about early exits apply)

We know it's NYC?

Apparently.
From ABC:

Caution: Exit poll results this evening may change significantly after 9 p.m.

This is because polling places in 50 of the state’s counties – outside the New York City area and Buffalo – opened at noon. People in those counties with day jobs can’t vote until after work, so they won’t be included in early exit poll results.

We don’t know if this will change the post-9 p.m. exit poll data, but it could. So consider the data that are available from 5-9 p.m. as especially preliminary, and check back for updates.

So, it doesn't mean it's only NYC. It means results from upstate don't include people with day jobs. It includes retirees, etc...
It depends.  Does 'they' refer to the people who haven't voted yet, or those counties.  Damn vague wording.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2016, 05:55:53 PM »

Not that surprising.  Supporters of the losing candidate would be more likely to feel bitter about the campaign, while the victors are more likely to feel magnanimous.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2016, 06:39:08 PM »

It would be an underwhelming victory, but a victory nonetheless.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2016, 07:16:20 PM »

r/SandersForPresident is in full teenager-who's-just-been-broken-up-with-for-the-first-time mode.
Wow, and that's considering the exits are indicating a relatively decent showing for Sanders.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2016, 08:31:59 PM »

The exit polls had a 10 point race in NYC.  Its more like a 20 point race.  No way are they representative.
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2016, 10:20:43 PM »

Ana Kasperian is losing her damn mind right now... every Democrat who prefers Clinton to Sanders is both a "ing moron" and need to acknowledge that she is "smarter than them"
Damn.  She was my favorite too back when I watched the show.
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