Is there any chance Sanders could win NY?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 20, 2024, 02:36:18 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Is there any chance Sanders could win NY?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Skip
#1
Yes, absolutely		  
#2
No, not a chance		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: Is there any chance Sanders could win NY?  (Read 952 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,033
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 05, 2016, 07:07:34 AM »
So, let's assume Sanders wins WI tonight by a comfortable margin and gains momentum coming out of tonight, does Sanders have any chance in hell of taking NY from Clinton? Presumably, he'll have to win either Hispanics or AA's or do really well with either or both groups along with winning Whites comfortably enough to take NY from her.

Do you believe it can be done?
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,827
Ukraine
Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2016, 07:12:57 AM »
"Momentum" isn't a thing.
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,600
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 05, 2016, 07:19:46 AM »
Like a 0.1% chance.
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
evergreen
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 05, 2016, 07:43:38 AM »
not on his own merits, only if clinton collapses
Logged
Desroko
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 346
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2016, 07:47:10 AM »
Logged
SillyAmerican
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,052
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 05, 2016, 08:02:56 AM »
If the planets were to align just right, then yes, anything's possible.
Logged
Shadows
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,956
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 05, 2016, 08:16:11 AM »
It would be a bigger upset than Michigan & looks unlikely.

He has to win whites by 15% odd & sweep upstate suburbs and contain the deficit in Manhattan.

He has to win Hispanics by 7-8% atleast. And he has to get between 35-40% of the black votes.

Realistically I think an upset would depend on how big his losses are in Manhattan & among the blacks.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,833
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 05, 2016, 08:33:26 AM »
No, even a single digit loss would be a surprise.
Logged
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,846
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 05, 2016, 08:35:47 AM »
I expect a high single digit race. 5% or so chance of actually winning.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,151
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 05, 2016, 01:43:45 PM »
The same chance Rafael has on the Republican side.
Logged
Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,833


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 05, 2016, 01:47:53 PM »
The road for Bernie gets tough after WI and WY
Logged
Derpist
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 997
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -2.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 05, 2016, 03:10:59 PM »
No. If NY was an open primary, I'd say yes. But it's not.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,301
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 05, 2016, 03:17:22 PM »
Sure, in the same way that there's a "chance" Clinton will win MO in the GE.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.22 seconds with 13 queries.