Hispanic turnout is lower in off-year elections. wayyy lower in off-year elections.
Theres a strong enough floor for republicans consisting of High turnout-ish mormons + Fiscally conservative/Socially Moderate Suburbanites. That allows an edge to win off-year elections especially since hispanics a strong democrat consistency don't turn out a lot in those elections.
Besides Kenny Guinn and Brian sandoval were really moderate republicans that offset a lot of democrats from coming out to vote against them.
Harry Reid being a mormon was probably a reason why he survived the republican wave in 2010.
Well, being a Mormon myself, I can tell you that a lot of Mormons actually despise Harry Reid and see him as a traitor to the faith. At least Utah Mormons, I don't know about Nevada Mormons, but considering Cliven Bundy and his ilk, I imagine they're similar to Utah Mormons. Reid survives because he's a good strategist, not because he's Mormon. Though I like Harry Reid as a politician, and I'm effectively a Mormon Dem, so my opinion should be taken with a grain of salt.
I couldn't find any exit poll from 2010 that polled mormons. But obviously he wasn't going to win them but its very probable that a "one of us effect" might of cushioned some negativity even if its a group thats usually strongly against the party that person associates with.
http://polipundit.com/?p=36694Some conservatives blame a significant amount of mormons voting for reid as tipping the favor in 2010.
