B-b-but Fairfax County 
Northern Virginia (
) /s
Seriously, though: This is obviously a terrible poll from a pollster with a bad record, but could you imagine Atlas' reaction if Trump somehow won Virginia? Christ....
Trump should win Virginia in a Trump +2 or even a Trump -2 environment in an open election.
I don't care for the traditional wisdom of the red avatars in this place. It's still a battleground state with a slight Republican lean in a national tie scenario. I am not shocked by the outcome of this poll given the status of the race at this point, even if the pollster is questionable. With that said, I'd love to see the meltdown when Trump takes the state in November,
Evidence for your delusional claims?
Compare the national popular vote over the last 5 Presidential cycles to the Democrat/Republican vote share in Virginia. In every cycle there is a slight lean on the Republican side. 2012 is the closest to the actual nationwide margin where Virginia was a bellwether, but the deviation is generally between 1-3 points.
Even in 2012, there was a slight lean Republican from the national numbers (.1%).
.1% isn't significant. It has gotten more and more Democratic relative to the national number every election cycle. Donald Trump is not going to carry Virginia in a tied election. Not sure if you've ever been to Virginia or know anything about it, but it's not going to happen.
Virginia's partisan tilt all comes down to black turnout levels, as well as how much the Republican can rack up in the Appalachian part of the state, and how high the turnout/Democratic lean is in Northern Virginia. Virginia should remain a bellwether state for about a decade or so.
