What will the voter turnout percentage be (Trump vs Clinton)?

[RR1997]

Just for reference, the voter turnout percentage in 2012 was 54.87% and 58.23% in 2008.

Here is an interesting table:



Trump will inspire Latinos and Asians to turnout against him at record levels.

I could see Latino turnout rising from 48% to 56%.

Trump will also inspire working-class Rust Belt whites to turnout towards him at record levels.

More people are also following this election then ever before. I know so many people who usually never follow politics that are following the election this year because of Donald Trump. Trump has gotten so many people interested in politics. Politics used to be boring until Trump came along. Trump has turned this election to a reality TV show. The turnout rate will rise drastically because of this.

Trump and Hillary are also incredibly unpopular amongst the voting population. Many people are disgusted with both of them. Many will stay home as a result.

Overall, I think that voter turnout will drastically increase.

I think that the turnout rate will be around 59-60% percent.

What do you guys think?

[Kingpoleon]

Somewhere in the 57%-60% range. Voted 60%.

[Nyvin]

I'd guess 56% - 58% range.   

[President Johnson]

Between 59% and 64%. TRUMP will make the voter turnout great again.

[Tender Branson]

The VEP (voting eligible population) should be around 230 Mio. people in this election.

I think turnout could be between 55-60% of the VEP, as usual.

A few months ago, I thought Trump vs. Hillary would have relatively low turnout because both candidates are so epically disgusting to voters.

But with the good turnout in the primaries, I think the GE will have normal turnout (fewer Blacks compared with 2008/2012 turning out, which is compensated by more Hispanics turning out).

Whites and Asians should have regular turnout.

[Meclazine for Israel]

RR,

I dont know, but i think it's a very important factor in the election.

Despite his lower polling with minorities, Trump can still win if those minorities show a lack of enthusiasm for the democratic process.

[Ljube]

Probably between 52% and 53%. I expect a lower turnout for several reasons:

1) No inspiring/change candidate
2) No major crisis/problem
3) Both candidates have high unfavorabile rating

In addition to this, I expect the campaign to be dirty and ugly and that would depress turnout further.

[The Other Castro]

Both candidates are viewed with net unfavorability, but Trump is several points lower. If both were viewed at Trump level, it would probably decrease turnout a lot. However, I think we could see the expected drop in Whites offset by increased turnout from minorities (minus Blacks) due to fear of a Trump presidency.