nclib
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« on: April 28, 2020, 05:41:10 PM » |
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I think VT is meant to be D in 1980.
ND 1980 has the highest trend outside of states not gaining or losing a home state candidate. Also, it's the only state (aside from home state candidates) to appear on this list twice in subsequent elections. Any explanation?
Arkansas is listed 3 times and none of them were subsequent.
Looking at other home state candidates not on this list:
Reagan, CA 1980 3.20
Mondale, MN 1984 4.72
H.W. Bush, (TX?) 1988 -4.40
Dukakis, MA 1988 0.15
W. Bush, TX 2000 8.39
Gore, TN 2000 1.73
Kerry, MA 2004 0.84
McCain, AZ 2008 7.75
Obama, IL 2008 5.03
Romney, MA/MI 2012 MI:3.57 MA:-0.74
H. Clinton IL/AR (NY is same as Trump) 2016 IL:1.81 AR: -1.47
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