NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Over half of votes counted and Price is trailing. That's...

Price will pull ahead. Wake is almost all in, Orange is barely half over, Durham is only 9%.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Wow things are looking awful right now.

Nah better than I thought. GOP takes House but Senate is looking up.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Well that's three Senate seats the teabaggers cost the GOP it appears (CO, NV and DE)

Got to hand it to Bennet though, his pulling through was also largely thanks to him. Good job Bennet.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Damn@Oberstar. I never saw that coming. Normally I'd take solace in that the seat would likely flip back but who knows what redistricting will do. We've probably lost the chance to redistrict out Bachmann too but if we lose a seat Cravaak likely will be it.

Well on the bright side Hanabusa appears to have won by a solid margin.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

With that margin Murkowski has probably won it.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Damn@Oberstar. I never saw that coming. Normally I'd take solace in that the seat would likely flip back but who knows what redistricting will do. We've probably lost the chance to redistrict out Bachmann too but if we lose a seat Cravaak likely will be it.

Well on the bright side Hanabusa appears to have won by a solid margin.

I was really surprised that Cravaack pulled 40% in St. Louis.  Should I be?

Yeah. That's really flukeish. I wouldn't expect it to continue in future elections but as said who knows what the district will look like. I wonder what happens if they draw Cravaack and Peterson in, Peterson would win but he might lose the primary. Then again he might want to retire now with all of his fellow Blue Dogs wiped out.

Of course I've also heard it's now looking more likely Minnesota might not lose a seat.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I crunched some numbers. Miller would need 13,439 write-ins to be for someone other than Murkowski. This is over 6% of the total and I don't think I've ever seen over half a percent of votes be faux write-ins except in uncontested races. Really no way I can see Miller take it.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So there is absolutely no chance of me ever ever winning NY-13, correct?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

What do they also hate strip clubs there or something? Staten Island doesn't strike me as a strip club haven, they are mostly in Manhattan or Brooklyn in NYC from what I understand. Or are you just referring to the whole "being a liberal Democrat" thing?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Nah he'll probably survive. All the Republican parts of Dold's seat likely end up in his and Dold ends up with the two-year career.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The term Anglo in the context is kind of silly, but it makes sense in the terms of Texas and New Mexico where tons of Hispanics are just descendants of early Spanish settlers and have just as pure European ancestry as stereotypical WASP people. Ken Salazar (Colorado but same thing) is a great example of one of these.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Gubernatorial:


Senatorial:


Not much difference.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Anyone else bet that if a poll from Vermont showing a Republican beating Obama among blacks appeared Dgov would freak out?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

That's not a terribly implausible scenario, as there are about 5 black people in Vermont.

But don't you know that subsamples in polls are ALWAYS ALWAYS ALWAYS RIGHT NO MATTER HOW SMALL!!!!11!!!! [/Dgov]