rbt48
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,060
|
 |
« on: October 26, 2004, 09:16:11 PM » |
|
I think that Murkowski will pull out a victory on Bush's coattails. Were this a non-Presidential year, she would be toast. WIth a 60 to 35 Bush win in AK, and the fact that Alaska hasn't elected a Democrat to the Senate since '74, she will squeak by. Military absentee vote might be the edge--they are out of state and less likely to be aware of the furor against Gov Murkowski appointing her to his vacant seat.
Close races in SC, KY, and OK will also go Republican with a boost from Bush's coattails.
If Vitter doesn't get 50% on 2 Nov (and I don't envision he will), he'll likely lose a runoff. Democrats have proven runoff success in recent races (2003 governorship and Landrieu in 2002 for the Senate).
Burr in NC, Daschle/Thune too close to call.
Georgia and Illinois are already decided.
New Senate: 53R, 47D (calling Jeffords as a D since he caucuses that way.
|
