GA-6 Special election discussion thread

[The Other Castro]

I'm guessing an end result of around 48%, which would still be a pretty solid position going into a runoff. I think he's the favorite in a runoff now.

[The Other Castro]

Cobb (37% in)
Ossoff: 47%
538 goal: 43%

DeKalb (67% in)
Ossoff: 58%
538 goal: 60%

Fulton (16% in)
Ossoff: 55%
538 goal: 49%

[The Other Castro]

More Cobb numbers coming in now.

[The Other Castro]

Jon Ossoff (Democratic)    50.8%   60,319
Karen Handel (Republican)    18.1%   21,543
Judson Hill (Republican)    9.7%   11,545
Bob Gray (Republican)    9.5%   11,323
Dan Moody (Republican)    8.4%   10,038

[The Other Castro]

Cobb - 73% in, Ossoff at 42.4%
Fulton - 16% in, Ossoff at 55.3%
DeKalb - 67% in, Ossoff at 58.5%

[The Other Castro]

Nate Cohn‏ @Nate_Cohn
Ossoff's attrition should probably slow down a bit now that so much of Cobb County is in, but still tracking toward a 48/48.5 type finish

[The Other Castro]

DeKalb now 95% reporting. Only going down from here most likely.

[The Other Castro]

Ossoff now at 50.1%

[The Other Castro]

Cobb County dump, now mostly in.

[The Other Castro]

Ossoff now at 50.1%

Yeah it seems only DDHQ has that number. Not even the SoS has that.

NYT has it now.

[The Other Castro]

Jon Ossoff (Democratic)    50.1%   67,784
Karen Handel (Republican)    18.2%   24,655
Judson Hill (Republican)    10.0%   13,544
Bob Gray (Republican)    9.7%   13,056
Dan Moody (Republican)    8.5%   11,464


With 88% of Cobb, 95 of DeKalb, and 16% of Fulton reporting.

[The Other Castro]

DeKalb now 100% in.

[The Other Castro]

Ossoff ran about 1.5% ahead of Clinton in Cobb and DeKalb, so if that pattern held with Fulton he would finish with about 48.3% districtwide.

[The Other Castro]

Why is Fulton taking forever to count results?

Because they hate us.

Anybody in support of North Korea dropping a bomb on Fulton County?

You're on a list now buddy.

[The Other Castro]

DDHQ showing some rare restraint in officially calling the race:

Decision Desk HQ‏ @DecisionDeskHQ
It is very, very, very, very likely that Jon Ossoff faces a runoff against Karen Handel in #GA06. Just waiting on a few precincts.

[The Other Castro]

Decision Desk HQ‏ @DecisionDeskHQ  1h1 hour ago
Fulton County is having problems updating its tallies into state servers, and won't update reporters on site...yet

[The Other Castro]

Is there a chance Ossoff calls for a recount if things stay tight? I'm sure he'd like to win outright if he could.

Ossoff can't ask for a recount. GA law for recount margins is based on closeness of candidates, not closeness to certain thresholds.

[The Other Castro]

Drew McCoy‏ @_Drew_McCoy_ 
From our onsite reporter: Fulton County is having technical difficulties. They are on the phone with tech support.

I'm not joking.

[The Other Castro]

Even if Karen Handel ends up winning this seat, the sheer closeness of an election in a district Tom Price won with 60% of the vote should scare Republicans.

Looks like Total Dem votes will be over 50% ... that should scare Rep's for the runoff.

It'll probably be closer to 49% by the time Fulton updates.

[The Other Castro]

Democrats are probably going to win back congress at this rate.

Lol, they couldnt even win a left of center district in this election with $8 million!

And that is before fresh Gerrymandering.

U.S. House, Georgia District 6 General Election, 2016
Tom Price (R): 61.7%, 201,088
Rodney Stooksbury (D): 38.3%, 124,917

[The Other Castro]

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ
One card out of hundreds created an error. They need to manually go through them and re-upload everything in #Fulton #GA06


Good night everyone

[The Other Castro]

Ossoff speaking to supporters in five minutes.

[The Other Castro]

Ossoff to crowd: We might now know the outcome tonight, but we have already won.

[The Other Castro]

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

Ossoff is down to 48.61

Fulton now 72% reporting.

[The Other Castro]

Remaining Fulton + mail in ballots should put Ossoff around 48%, maybe a little lower.