Especially amazing considering Hoeven is....what....enjoying like a 75% approval rating?
I think Hoeven is likely to take this seat. I hope not. But he'll be exceptionally strong and North Dakota Democrats have been tempting fate for far too long. I do think Hoeven would have a much better chance at Conrad's seat. But Dorgan would be a fool to consider himself safe.
Dorgan is safe. Hoeven is losing by 22 points, and probably won't run against him. Hoeven is smart enough to realize that he's safe as Governor, and that it's a big risk to run against a long time, popular incumbent like Dorgan.