Welcome to the Runoff!: LA 2015 Liveblog

[windjammer]

I thought he supported two term limits...

[Miles]

I thought he supported two term limits...

He's sponsored legislation for it, but never actually come out and limited himself.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Hillary doing well in Louisiana?

I doubt it and she does not have her husband's political charm to carry the Pelican State

[windjammer]

Hillary doing well in Louisiana?

I doubt it and she does not have her husband's political charm to carry the Pelican State

She will overperform Obama.

[Miles]

PPP will likely have a poll out for the Gov race this week.

For now they've leaked this bit:

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They've confirmed Jindal's slight rebound; he's almost as popular as Obama now!

[TX Conservative Dem]

What are the disapprovals for Jindal though ?

[Miles]

John Bel Edwards is looking like a good candidate with $550K raised.

On the downside, for "Dadrenne Democrats" like me, that might not be so good:

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[TX Conservative Dem]

Mardi Gras Miles, the big question is can Vitter avoid a runoff?

[RogueBeaver]

Vitter leads Landrieu 50/37, Edwards 51/37, Dardenne 41/29.

[Miles]

Jindal is also down to 35/53.

40% of Democrats are undecided and 39% of Independents; the bulk of them will go to Dardenne over Vitter.

[RogueBeaver]

Too bad they didn't do a jungle matchup.

[Miles]

Vitter's been busy making his pitch to voters in Acadiana.

Vitter's faction in the legislature, the 'fiscal hawks,' are not very happy about Jindal's budget. Jindal has used one-time funds and surpluses to plug some fiscal gaps; as usual, they don't like his use of such quick fixes.

Interview with John Bel Edwards. He touts bipartisanship. I'll probably start referring to him has JBE, as to avoid confusion with another Democratic Edwards in LA.

Apparently Dardenne supporters took issue with the PPP poll because it mislabeled Vitter:



Vitter was still winning Republicans 61-23 so I doubt it made much of a difference.

[TX Conservative Dem]

When can we expect to see TV ads from Vitter, Dardene and JBB ?

[Miles]

He's been rumored to be thinking about this race for a while but General Russell Honore may run. He's bets known for helping organize the relief efforts in New Orleans immediately after Katrina and is generally still popular. I'm not sure which party he'd run as, if he doesn't run as an independent.

When can we expect to see TV ads from Vitter, Dardene and JBE ?

Idk, probably late this year.

[DINGO Joe]

In the Lt. Governor's race Nungesser has 1.45 million on hand, though $1 million of that is his own money,  while Elbert  is $2,175 in the red.  Hopefully Holden does run so that there is somebody I can vote for.   Nungesser is like a Louisiana version of Christie with shadier financial dealings and Elbert is an Elbert.

http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2014/02/lt_gov_nungesser_guillory_hold.html#incart_river

[Miles]

Wow, good to hear about Guillory.

Do you think Holden can actually win a runoff against either of them though? I'm not sure.

[DINGO Joe]

Wow, good to hear about Guillory.

Do you think Holden can actually win a runoff against either of them though? I'm not sure.

Well, a Holden-Guillory runoff would be fascinating and I guess Guillory's hope is that the fundies vote for him, but unless a white conservative got in the race, I can't see Nungesser not making the runoff.  Holden's has some crossover appeal in Baton Rouge, but that probably has a fairly tight ceiling.  I dislike Nungesser almost as much as Vitter and while I claim to care little about Louisiana outside of New Orleans, the idea of those two blowhards in charge is pukeworthy.

[Miles]

Why don't you like Nungesser? I like him, especially over Guillory.

[TX Conservative Dem]

So Holden is actually going to run for Lieutenant Governor for real this time ?

How much $$$ does he have leftover from his 3 mayoral campaigns ?

Guillory having financial issues-OUCH, but I'm hoping he can pull this off and win the LG's office.

[TX Conservative Dem]

Speaking of sports, does anyone see Miami Heat being stopped anytime soon?

[Miles]

Speaking of sports, does anyone see Miami Heat being stopped anytime soon?

Can we please ban this guy?

[JacobNC]

Guillory in debt?  But I thought he became a Republican because he was such a good fiscal conservative...

[TX Conservative Dem]

Mardi Gras Miles, I'm NOT going anywhere.

I was just using sports analogy

[Morning in Atlas]

Speaking of sports, does anyone see Miami Heat being stopped anytime soon?

Yeah. OKC beats them this year.

[DINGO Joe]

Why don't you like Nungesser? I like him, especially over Guillory.

General bias, Louisiana politics is a cesspool and Nungesser has always flowed in the sewage.  Nungesser was supposedly a client of the same whorehouse as Vitter.  I'm not terribly wound up about the prostitution part, but the whole intimidation and threats of prosecution towards the women while the johns weren't facing anything, plus the whole question over who was ultimately paying for the prostitutes and why the madam's client book never came out all smack of good old boy politics.  

Really, I'm just hoping for someone to actually vote for.