Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,123
Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
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« on: August 15, 2016, 11:59:50 AM » |
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At the risk of repeating what other have said, Trump will lose because (in no particular order):
1. The nationwide electorate has fundamentally shifted towards the Democrats, and the GOP that wins conservative House districts is not the GOP that can win nationally.
2. Trump has failed to get the backing of the GOP establishment, the conservative movement, or corporate America.
3. Two thirds of Americans view Trump unfavorably, and a majority do not believe he is qualified to be President. Clinton may have a 10-point net unfavorability, but most Americans believe she is qualified.
4. Clinton has many more viable paths to an electoral victory available. In a close race, Trump must pick up Florida, Ohio, and either Pennsylvania or Virginia in order to win. His margin for error is very small, while Clinton has breathing room.
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