NM - Tarrance Group (R): Lujan-Grisham 47 - Pearce 43

[Meatball Ron]

I highly doubt these will be the nominees, but dems obviously have the advantage in this race.

Why not? I was under the impression that this one was pretty settled? I mean I guess the GOP could try to find someone better if they're worried about Pearce, but the bench isn't amazing, especially since Sanchez is out. On the Democratic side, I don't think Cervantes will be too much of a factor and I don't see who else would challenge Grisham (since Balderas and Keller are already out).