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May 18, 2024, 04:15:50 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 04:09:32 AM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by iceman
mentality on this forum: if Biden leads by 1 its a legit poll, If Trump leads by 1 or 2, its bogus and the sample is questionable.

 2 
 on: Today at 04:03:51 AM 
Started by Hnv1 - Last post by Silent Hunter
Also, Israel says those three people were murdered on October 7 and Hamas took the bodies with them. Remember they have swapped human remains for live prisoners before.

 3 
 on: Today at 04:02:04 AM 
Started by Horus - Last post by AtorBoltox
Netanyahu was right - Israel isn't a vassal state of the U.S., it's the inverse.
Indistinguishable from Stromfront here

 4 
 on: Today at 04:01:01 AM 
Started by Mr. Smith - Last post by Lechasseur

 5 
 on: Today at 04:00:43 AM 
Started by Mr. Smith - Last post by Lechasseur
Mitchell and Cohen

 6 
 on: Today at 03:26:27 AM 
Started by Horus - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
That's why they are gonna lose their majority they take up bills that are meaningless.


 7 
 on: Today at 03:25:16 AM 
Started by Virginiá - Last post by Hollywood
I'm guessing a "friendly" regime in Ukraine from Putin's perspective would be Belarus 2.0:

"In my recent piece in Foreign Affairs, I argued that nobody in Moscow is looking for an exit strategy from the war; rather, people are prepared to fight as long as it takes. Many interpreted this as a thesis that Moscow will not negotiate with Ukraine or agree to a ceasefire. That is not what I was saying. Here are several points to make my understanding more nuanced:

There is no discussion among senior officials in the Kremlin about negotiating with Ukraine or what compromises could be reached with Kyiv or the West. Decision-making on this issue is monopolized by Putin, and many senior officials simply guess what he wants but do not dare to initiate anything. The common belief is that Russia is winning, advancing successfully, and has the upper hand in Ukraine. Hence, they see no point in talking to the West, let alone Ukraine.

Putin does not aim to storm Odessa, Kyiv, or even Kharkiv. First, he lacks the army for that. Second, he does not want to engage in large-scale battles. His strategy is to impose on Ukraine military pressure, diminish military infrastructure, and intimidate locals to coerce Kyiv into surrendering and accepting Russian demands. He will only take what he believes he can, given his limited military capacity and wait when Ukraine falls.

Yes, Putin wants to talk, but strictly on Russian terms. He is concerned that a pause might be used by the West and Ukraine to rearm. Because of this, he will be extremely cautious about the conditions of any talks

He will not talk to Zelensky, as he does not believe Zelensky can deliver what Russia wants from Ukraine. Moscow has been signalling for months that the West must remove Zelensky. However, if Zelensky were to lift the ban on talks with Russia and open a window for negotiations, Putin might seize this opportunity (as a showcase and temporarily)—not to start real talks, but to demonstrate his readiness for negotiations, expecting, as well, it to accelerate Zelensky’s departure. Putin might also agree to a tactical ceasefire if reassured that it would not be used to rearm Ukraine and if he sees Ukraine is desperate and ready to discuss Russian demands.

So, what are Russia’s demands? Putin’s flexibility will depend on the progress on three tracks, which are inter-dependable:

1. Washington’s position: If Putin has any hope that the US might consider an "ironclad" ban on Ukraine’s NATO membership and other guarantees of neutrality, his position on two other tracks might soften.
2. Kyiv’s readiness to consider political demands: Putin wants a "friendly" regime in Ukraine—one that would exclude the emergence of anti-Russian forces. I will not go into details here, but If he believes he can achieve this, he may be flexible on territorial matters. It is important to say that I do not believe this is ever possible, but in Putin’s vision, it is no problem if Odessa remains Ukrainian as long as Ukraine is “friendly.”
3. Territorial Matters: If there is no progress on the first two tracks, Putin will continue a creeping offensive for as long as needed. If he is more successful militarily and gain more territories, he will become more contemptuous about first and second tracks.

The point of my article in Foreign Affairs was that if there is no sign from the West that serious talks are possible (in Putin’s eyes and those of the Russian ruling elite there are no such signs), the only path is further escalation. No one is concerned about this unless it brings us to the brink of nuclear war—an eventuality that might split the elite (I do not urge to provoke the nuclear escalation). Until then, the political class will stick with Putin and support his military ambitions."


     
WTF is Washington's positions, again? Russia is supposed to hope they concede to some intangible BS?  Sure we might consider not arming Ukraine or advancing their membership to NATO. Wink Wink. We should pause the conflict to further discuss these terms and disregards all the public suggestions that demonstrate our intent to manipulate you. We need to show our voters that were reasonable, but also that we can arm-wrestle you to the floor, so then we can say "We tried. Putin doesn't plan to stop his invasion of Europe, so we have to send more resources to Ukraine. They've escalated by dropping chemical weapons but ignore the videos of Ukrainians bragging about the chemicals weapons their manufacturing, and the ones where they drop those chemical weapons."  The reality is that Putin and Russian Elites were talking about negotiations a long time ago, but there is no longer any path to peace with Biden and Zelensky.  That ended when Russia realized that the Ukrainian Offensive gave them an open path to victory, and those fortification built in the South and East gave Putin the time to field a powerful army while Zelensky played into the Russian attrition strategy by sacrificing his best for nothing.     

The common belief is that Russia is winning the war cause evidence points towards growing Russian momentum whilst increasing their military superiority over Ukraine despite assistance from NATO countries.  Russia doesn't have to directly assault Kharkiv anymore, because Ukraine doesn't have enough men to defend the front.  They just have to walk around and surround it while their ample supply of drones, artillery shells, air bombardments, and missiles annihilate anything that tries to touch them.  And now Ukraine is losing functionality of their drones due to the Russian Electronic Warfare and Turtle Tanks. The UAF can't even fly a drone to track their movements.  That's a nightmare.  There's no negotiation ATM, because Ukraine is literally on the ropes.   

 8 
 on: Today at 03:25:02 AM 
Started by Tekken_Guy - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
The polls are lying didn't they have Laxalt plus 5 per Trafalgar, users once again believe those silly NV polls, they are always gonna have an R biss

 9 
 on: Today at 03:20:16 AM 
Started by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers


Emerson just polled NV on 4/25 and it will be updated in their next polls Trump 51/49 Trump will never win NV by 12


This is Biden EC strategy to get to 275 without ME 2 or NEB 2. As it was for Hillary, but FL is solid red.

Keep believing those NV polls TRAFALGAR had it Laxalt plus 5

 10 
 on: Today at 03:19:51 AM 
Started by Vice President Christian Man - Last post by President of the great nation of 🏳️‍⚧️
North Carolina moment.

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