Certainly a long shot, but given the recent corruption questions surrounding Cuomo, is it possible that Teachout could have a better-than-expected showing in the primary? I'm not suggesting she wins, I think that would require an upset even greater than Cantor's loss, but what if she gets around 40% of the vote, that would be very significant, I would imagine, in the GE, but I suppose Teachout voters would never back the Republican...
Actually given Cuomo's ethics issues, I wouldn't be surprised if Teachout won... The problem is she wouldn't beat Astorino in a General election.
Really?? Is there even any polling?
Nope. It's really all a question of turnout. Cuomo's fans are de-energized by the scandal, and the leftists who always disliked him are energized. This is the kind of primary that generally goes badly for incumbents.
That being said, NY is so big that I sort of doubt it'll happen. But he could get an embarrassing 10-point victory that basically ends him as a national candidate.
I'm not sure what would happen in a Teachout vs. Astorino general election. New York is pretty inelastic these days, but would the public really vote for an activist with no experience for governor of one of the US' biggest states?
