The "PPP leaks stuff about their polls" thread

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, the only reason Michigan is close is because it's Romney's "home" state. He's going to get rocked in the rest of the Midwest.

[Lief 🗽]

says ppp:

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It's over! The goose is cooked! I tried to tell you guys last night on the chat, but no one would listen! Romney has it all in the bag now. He's going to win Washington, win all but maybe Georgia and Oklahoma on Super Tuesday, and that'll be it. Game over.

[Lief 🗽]

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[Lief 🗽]

No, J.J., Romney did not gain any delegates on Santorum in MS. Mitt won 12 delegates, while Rick won 13. Another 12 were won by Newt Gingrich.

[Lief 🗽]

And it's just gonna get worse over the next three weeks.

[Lief 🗽]

Hardly shocking news, he was leading by only 5 and 6 points in their last polls of the two states.

[Lief 🗽]

Good news for the President, says PPP:

[quote]Things definitely looking good for Obama in the polls we started tonight...we'll see if it holds through the weekend as the DNC fades away

[Lief 🗽]

PPP says Obama has a "decent lead" in Virginia, similar to his leads in their past polls of the state.

[Lief 🗽]

PPP is in the field with another Wisconsin poll for some reason?

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[Lief 🗽]

The last PPP OH poll was only Obama+4 when NBC, CBS, FOX WAPO were in the Obama +8-10 range. I wouldn't be surprised if their poll showed a small Romney lead or a tie.

Yeah, this. The automated/non-cell phone poll vs. traditional/cell phone-included poll division has been especially stark in Ohio for whatever reason.

[Lief 🗽]

Thank the good lord!

[Lief 🗽]

Yup, Obama's GOTV is pretty fantastic.

[Lief 🗽]

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Terrible idea.

[Lief 🗽]

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So they probably have a Romney lead in the state

[Lief 🗽]

HUGE OBAMA SURGE

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[Lief 🗽]

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So you think there will be a massive polling failure on a scale unprecedented in recent United States elections? Cool.

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Right, he has a much better ground game than his 2008 one. Romney's/the RNC's is still noticeably behind, according to essentially every article I've read about ground game, but if you can find something different, please feel free to post it.

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More of a wash, actually. Democrats increased in some states, Republicans closed the gap in others.

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Oh great, more anecdotal evidence that you use to call an entire election. I can't wait!

[Lief 🗽]

Well you've dismissed PPP and Marist (despite clinging to Rasmussen, which is much more "crap" than either), but you seem to be ignoring SUSA, CNN, Time, University of Cincinnati, Quinnipiac, Ipsos, Fox, and Purple Strategies. Fact: there is not a single non-partisan public poll showing Mitt Romney winning Ohio. Not one. Even Rasmussen has moved back into a tie.