Predict Rhode Island (D)
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  Predict Rhode Island (D)
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Poll
Question: What will be the final result?
#1
Clinton by double digits
 
#2
Clinton by single digits
 
#3
Sanders by single digits
 
#4
Sanders by double digits
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 50

Author Topic: Predict Rhode Island (D)  (Read 843 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« on: April 21, 2016, 05:06:54 PM »

The one 4/26 state where we don't have a poll yet. What do you think will happen?

For now, I'm guessing it will be another heartbreaker for Sanders, and that Clinton will win 51/49.
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Senator Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2016, 05:16:43 PM »

Sanders by single digits
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NerdyBohemian
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« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2016, 05:45:02 PM »
« Edited: April 21, 2016, 05:49:03 PM by NerdyBohemian »

55/45 Hilldawg give or take 2 points. Turnout will be low in the sort of areas Sanders performs best in. Hilldawg will perform well in the major urban population center (Providence, Cranston, Pawtucket, Central Falls, Warwick). I'm not sure how the East Side of Providence will vote since there are two major universities there (Brown and RISD) but most students are out of state. RI has fairly restrictive voting laws. This are is much whiter and has a "gentrified" feel to it but it has always been the nicest part of Providence.

 I see her performing well in the suburban ring around this area as well (North Providence, Johnston, West Warwick, East Providence) as these areas are very loyal to Democrats. She will also perform well in Woonsocket, a city on the north border. It is a smaller version of those small former mill cities in Massachusetts that went comfortably for Clinton (IE Lawrence, Lowell, Chelsea etc)

Places like Barrington, Bristol and Warren will be tough to call.

If going by CD I would say:

RI-1- Safe Clinton
RI-2- Tilt Sanders


I'll be voting for Hillary, but I believe my hometown will go for Sanders.
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Blue3
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« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2016, 08:58:10 PM »

55/45 Hilldawg give or take 2 points. Turnout will be low in the sort of areas Sanders performs best in. Hilldawg will perform well in the major urban population center (Providence, Cranston, Pawtucket, Central Falls, Warwick). I'm not sure how the East Side of Providence will vote since there are two major universities there (Brown and RISD) but most students are out of state. RI has fairly restrictive voting laws. This are is much whiter and has a "gentrified" feel to it but it has always been the nicest part of Providence.

 I see her performing well in the suburban ring around this area as well (North Providence, Johnston, West Warwick, East Providence) as these areas are very loyal to Democrats. She will also perform well in Woonsocket, a city on the north border. It is a smaller version of those small former mill cities in Massachusetts that went comfortably for Clinton (IE Lawrence, Lowell, Chelsea etc)

Places like Barrington, Bristol and Warren will be tough to call.

If going by CD I would say:

RI-1- Safe Clinton
RI-2- Tilt Sanders


I'll be voting for Hillary, but I believe my hometown will go for Sanders.
Pretty much agree with this.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2016, 09:02:17 PM »

Hillary with 54 or so.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #5 on: April 21, 2016, 09:03:58 PM »

Clinton by about 5 points. 
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Holmes
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« Reply #6 on: April 21, 2016, 09:04:59 PM »

Clinton, with 52-53% of the vote.
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NerdyBohemian
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« Reply #7 on: April 22, 2016, 11:50:16 AM »
« Edited: April 22, 2016, 01:15:23 PM by NerdyBohemian »



My predictions for Tuesday by town. I forgot New Shoreham! I predict it to be a solid Sanders though.
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