Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
Posts: 46,101
Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70
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« on: December 18, 2011, 10:45:19 PM » |
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Paul isn't relevant. What would help Mittens is if he comes in ahead of Newt, even if in second place to Paul. But I suspect Mittens will come first in Iowa. If he does, ironically, that would give a boost to Huntsman in NH, since some voters there will think they can "afford" to vote for Huntsman, because it won't run the risk of reanimating Newt. The thing is, at this point, or at some point, is whether a majority of GOP primary voters in these early states, if they had to choose, would prefer Newt or Mittens as the nominee. If Newt is out, NH has this predilection to cause matters to drag out a bit more.
Yes, I know, I am not making totally seamless sense here. Maybe I will better compose my thoughts on this later.
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