Democratic MI/MS election results thread (first results @8pm ET)

[Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy]

Bernie is winning Genesee Co (Flint) by a  couple hundred votes

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Call me a fool for this stand
But I would die for that man
My king is alive!
My king is alive!

[Antonio the Sixth]

This is the best night I could have hoped for. I was expecting this to be the nail in the coffin of Bernie's campaign, instead he's in the best position he has been since NH. He's still a very long shot, to be sure, but he has a real shot. He has a week to build on the momentum he will get, and if he puts up a similar performance next week he can win OH and hold his ground elsewhere. After that, he has a chance to make up his deficit in late States.

[pikachu]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

[Bigby]

Bornie Sandas will probably not win the nomination, but he's giving Clinton a run for her money at least.

[The Other Castro]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Next week will be Clinton's peak in delegate lead, but I think it's all downhill for her from there.

[user12345]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Yeah, they both get 63 from Michigan and she gets 31 in Mississippi and he got 2 in Mississippi.

[Wiz in Wis]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

He's staying in till California regardless. He's leading a "movement," which makes it hard to believe he'd concede before all the voting is done, unless he gets creamed by a margin that, frankly, seems unlikely given tonight.

[pikachu]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Next week will be Clinton's peak in delegate lead, but I think it's all downhill for her from there.

Probably, but I think she'll still get 8-10 point wins in the Northeastern states, and there's at least still one more big win for her in NC.

[Nichlemn]

Sanders had been consistently around 5% on PredictWise since South Carolina. The election results more or less don't matter at this point - I don't think it's possible for Sanders to win "normally" (i.e. without an indictment of Clinton or something similar).

[izixs]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Yeah, they both get 63 from Michigan and she gets 31 in Mississippi and he got 2 in Mississippi.

Not quite, the math in Michigan is rather complicated due to the delegates being split both state wide (28+17 PLEOs) and by districts.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

So is Violent Socialist going to follow up?

[Wiz in Wis]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Yeah, they both get 63 from Michigan and she gets 31 in Mississippi and he got 2 in Mississippi.

Not quite, the math in Michigan is rather complicated due to the delegates being split both state wide (28+17 PLEOs) and by districts.

Yeah, NY times giving him as much as 10 delegate lead out of MI. However, you're right, MS will net Hillary nearly 30.

[pikachu]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

He's staying in till California regardless. He's leading a "movement," which makes it hard to believe he'd concede before all the voting is done, unless he gets creamed by a margin that, frankly, seems unlikely given tonight.

Of course, but there's a point where she can just more or less ignore him and focus on the GOP. Obviously, she miscalculated and thought that already came, but I think that will come after the Northeastern states.

[RightBehind]

You think CNN would talk about Bernie? Nope. Still in the Hillary tank.

If Bernie gets inaugurated then the press will start to speculate if Hillary should pull a Ted Kennedy on Sanders in 2020.

[Asian Nazi]

So is Violent Socialist going to follow up?

Nobody took my bet or a week leave, but I'm probably going to take a day off to celebrate Clinton's victory.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

[Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Yeah, they both get 63 from Michigan and she gets 31 in Mississippi and he got 2 in Mississippi.

Not quite, the math in Michigan is rather complicated due to the delegates being split both state wide (28+17 PLEOs) and by districts.

Yeah, NY times giving him as much as 10 delegate lead out of MI. However, you're right, MS will net Hillary nearly 30.

According to NYT it's 81 Clinton / 64 Sanders (total for both states)

[Wiz in Wis]

One thing that is overlooked, especially given Bernie's issue with Superdelegates, is that Hillary banked not just 20 or so pledged delegates, but also netted 125k vote margin overall. She's up by nearly 1.6 million votes overall (not counting caucuses... probably 1mil with both). He's gotta net that by a lot everywhere else to convince the supers to swing to him.

[Gass3268]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Next week will be Clinton's peak in delegate lead, but I think it's all downhill for her from there.

Probably, but I think she'll still get 8-10 point wins in the Northeastern states, and there's at least still one more big win for her in NC.

North Carolina could be Bernie's best Southern state.

[DS0816]

Top news of the day is Bernie Sanders having upset Hillary Clinton in Michigan.

She was supposed to win the state by 10-plus percentage points.

I am very glad my vote, and I live in Michigan, for Bernie actually helped him carry the state.

[Wiz in Wis]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Yeah, they both get 63 from Michigan and she gets 31 in Mississippi and he got 2 in Mississippi.

Not quite, the math in Michigan is rather complicated due to the delegates being split both state wide (28+17 PLEOs) and by districts.

Yeah, NY times giving him as much as 10 delegate lead out of MI. However, you're right, MS will net Hillary nearly 30.

According to NYT it's 81 Clinton / 64 Sanders (total for both states)

Still not done in both states. Still think she nets 20 delegates overall.

[pikachu]

Hillary still nets more delegates from today, right? I still feel confident about Illinois and Florida to finish this off.

Next week will be Clinton's peak in delegate lead, but I think it's all downhill for her from there.

Probably, but I think she'll still get 8-10 point wins in the Northeastern states, and there's at least still one more big win for her in NC.

North Carolina could be Bernie's best Southern state.

You have to admit, that's fairly low bar...

[Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy]

One thing that is overlooked, especially given Bernie's issue with Superdelegates, is that Hillary banked not just 20 or so pledged delegates, but also netted 125k vote margin overall. She's up by nearly 1.6 million votes overall (not counting caucuses... probably 1mil with both). He's gotta net that by a lot everywhere else to convince the supers to swing to him.

superdelegates are overlooked? every single pundit mentions it every 5 minutes, there are tons of articles in newspapers every day, and this fact is posted in any political fórum and comment section of anything even slightly related to the dem nomination

[Gass3268]

Sanders is still winning Genesee County. That would be a blow to Clinton.