Iowa still a battleground state (user search)
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  Iowa still a battleground state (search mode)
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Author Topic: Iowa still a battleground state  (Read 2645 times)
Umengus
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Posts: 2,491
Belgium


« on: June 12, 2012, 01:42:28 PM »
it's not the first to give a tie in Iowa. Marist gave a tie last week and DMR poll gave Romney +2 in february...
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Umengus
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,491
Belgium


« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2012, 02:49:19 PM »
Quote from: Rowan on June 13, 2012, 07:39:38 AM
Quote from: JulioMadrid on June 13, 2012, 05:20:53 AM
Quote from: ucscgaldamez on June 13, 2012, 01:59:07 AM
The sample is R+5. Obama +1 among independents. 33R-28D-39I

Why didn't umengus point out that fact in his post? Maybe it was because the poll benefits republicans...

Or because that information is only available to subscribers and umengus is not one...

correct...

If Romney leads by 1 but Obama leads by 1 amongst I in a R+5 sample, I suppose that Romney can again  win voters amongst republicans...

All in all, the result seems correct.
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Umengus
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,491
Belgium


« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2012, 03:02:00 PM »
and a R+5 is not an outrage considering the D+1 in 2008... A swing of 6 is quite possible
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