Opinion of Nate Silver

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Nate is a true FF. Do you remember in 2012 when all the bloviating Washington pundits were saying the race was too close to call ? Or that it was a complete toss up ?

They were flat out wrong, sure the election in the swing states was close, but Obama ended up winning  all of the swing states minus NC, as Nate predicted. Nate had Obama's chance at over 80 % most of the election cycle. After Obama had that bad first debate, the belt way media screamed about the Romney surge and how he could win the race. Even after that debate, Nate still had Obama at around a 73 % chance of winning.

Also Nate completely nailed 2008 with his demographic analysis of the electorate. The whole Starbucks v Walmart comparison was a fascinating one. You could probably nail the 2008 election using that map.