Corby by-election
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Author Topic: Corby by-election  (Read 13484 times)
YL
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« Reply #50 on: November 09, 2012, 02:38:09 PM »
Latest from the Grauniad:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/nov/08/labour-corby-voters-louise-mensch

There's also a ComRes poll out.  Lab 51%, Con 30%, UKIP 9%, LD 7%, BNP 2%, Green 1%
http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Peoples_Pledge_Corby_Poll_October2012.pdf
(I presume the "General Election" in the question is a mistake, rather than what they actually asked.)
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #51 on: November 09, 2012, 08:30:38 PM »
Quote from: YL on November 09, 2012, 02:38:09 PM
Latest from the Grauniad:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2012/nov/08/labour-corby-voters-louise-mensch

There's also a ComRes poll out.  Lab 51%, Con 30%, UKIP 9%, LD 7%, BNP 2%, Green 1%
http://www.comres.co.uk/polls/Peoples_Pledge_Corby_Poll_October2012.pdf
(I presume the "General Election" in the question is a mistake, rather than what they actually asked.)

Lovely 4th place finish. Better that and Rotherham, the next few months are gonna be lovely for Nick Clegg.
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andrewteale
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« Reply #52 on: November 13, 2012, 05:44:45 AM »
Map of the 2011 local government results in the Corby constituency:


Barnwell and Fineshade were unopposed.
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YL
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« Reply #53 on: November 13, 2012, 01:47:10 PM »
That map shows the polarisation well!

Not much point in doing the same for Manchester Central or Rotherham, I suppose.
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Јas
Jas
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« Reply #54 on: November 14, 2012, 06:55:32 AM »
Did Tory campaign manager in Corby secretly back “independent” anti-wind candidate? - Financial Times, Westminster blog
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Leftbehind
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« Reply #55 on: November 14, 2012, 07:26:39 AM »
Behind a paywall, but why the f**k are they still posing the question as the title when they - as well as other newspapers - have got a video of him admitting it.
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YL
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« Reply #56 on: November 14, 2012, 01:30:01 PM »
LOL "Vote blue, go green"
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #57 on: November 14, 2012, 01:57:03 PM »

Cameron not being the "liberal conservative" he was right up until he passed the threshold of number 10!? Well, I don't believe it.
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Rural Radical2
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« Reply #58 on: November 14, 2012, 02:10:34 PM »
If current polls are right, I would say a Labour majority of 15%
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #59 on: November 16, 2012, 06:51:30 AM »
Vague rumours floating around that UKIP might have come second.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #60 on: November 16, 2012, 06:56:28 AM »
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Of course this may just be from Corby town.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #61 on: November 16, 2012, 07:20:19 AM »
Labourlist is suggesting a Labour majority of about 4000.
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tomm_86
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« Reply #62 on: November 16, 2012, 07:28:04 AM »
Quote from: Rural Radical2 on November 14, 2012, 02:10:34 PM
If current polls are right, I would say a Labour majority of 15%

Is this the same Rural Radical of Forum past? Welcome back!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #63 on: November 16, 2012, 08:47:53 AM »
All reports from the count indicate that Labour is miles ahead.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #64 on: November 16, 2012, 09:56:16 AM »
LibDem is delaying as they're 9 votes away from their deposit...
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #65 on: November 16, 2012, 10:18:58 AM »
Kudos to Mr Mozzarella
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #66 on: November 16, 2012, 10:25:11 AM »
Labour GAIN Corby by about 8,000 votes.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #67 on: November 16, 2012, 10:31:01 AM »
Labour 48.4%, Con 26.6%, UKIP 14.3%, LDem 5%, Others, whatever.

Labour majority of 7,791 (21.8%)
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #68 on: November 16, 2012, 10:36:14 AM »
« Edited: November 16, 2012, 10:43:42 AM by Hope for millionaires or hope for millions? »


Incredible result for Labour and UKIP.

If you count all of yesterday's by-elections, UKIP finished ahead of the LibDems. They also leading them in the PCCs, so maybe YouGov's right.

And it goes without saying that if the Tories are bleeding votes to UKIP in marginals like Corby...
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #69 on: November 16, 2012, 10:40:21 AM »
And after 9 by-elections in this parliament...
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #70 on: November 16, 2012, 10:43:26 AM »

Interesting table. Thanks for sharing.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #71 on: November 16, 2012, 10:49:24 AM »
The overall swing in by-elections in the 2005-2010 parliament pointed to a hung parliament with the Tories as the largest party, btw.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #72 on: November 16, 2012, 10:53:35 AM »
Quote from: Hank Schrader on November 16, 2012, 10:49:24 AM
The overall swing in by-elections in the 2005-2010 parliament pointed to a hung parliament with the Tories as the largest party, btw.

That's why I put it together, I've been doing it since Oldham.

Should I upload the excel file?
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MrMittens
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« Reply #73 on: November 16, 2012, 11:16:40 AM »
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-20345196

Nice BBC article to wrap thing up with. Jill Hope is trolling as expected. Surprised UKIP haven't siad anything, given they got over 14%.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #74 on: November 16, 2012, 11:31:58 AM »

Is Nigel Farage ill or something? He's normally never off the TV even if they get like 3% at these things.
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