This is a stable race where Donald Trump has a healthy swing state lead. There are pretty much no unknowns to speak of. People know exactly who these two candidates are and it's gonna be extremely hard to change anybody's mind. The "it's only may" excuse may have been useful in the past, but there is very good reason to believe that the 2024 is different than past elections. Tell me exactly what info would make people leave Trump or flock to Biden? For every left wing Biden holdout who caves, there's gonna be a Haley supporter caving in to Trump.
Trump’s swing state lead is healthy in the sun belt but it’s basically MoE in the rust belt.