Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (user search)
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  Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)  (Read 202314 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: April 11, 2017, 08:10:18 PM »
Estes probably pulls it out.
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RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: April 11, 2017, 08:32:20 PM »
The precincts with the most out in Sedgwick tend to be more GOP than what's already in.
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RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2017, 08:40:22 PM »
Thompson up by less than 1,000 votes now.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2017, 08:44:35 PM »
It's over.
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RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2017, 08:46:09 PM »

This was an error.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2017, 08:54:26 PM »
Quote from: AtorBoltox on April 11, 2017, 08:53:52 PM
Yeah, the Democrats are winning the house in 2018. Anyone who disputes that after a result like this is delusional

Possible, but not everywhere has a toxic GOP governor like Brownback.
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RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2017, 08:59:04 PM »
Estes lead up to 2,300 votes.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2017, 09:04:31 PM »
Estes up to a 4.2% lead.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: April 11, 2017, 09:13:01 PM »

While DDHQ is pretty good for reporting results, they suck at calling races. In this case, they're almost certainly right, however.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: April 11, 2017, 09:15:26 PM »
Even 6-point margin now.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #10 on: April 11, 2017, 09:18:07 PM »
Quote from: Thomas Jackson on April 11, 2017, 09:17:14 PM
The Dem-Cheerleaders in this thread are forgetting how terrible a Candidate Estes is. He literally was sleepwalking through the entire campaign. He knew he had it in the bag and didn't even need to try. It looks like he was right too. 

You also have to remember that this is a special election. A lot of people probably don't even know that there is an election. According to the SOS numbers right now, 62 people voted in Pawnee County?

62.

That county was 1,904 for Trump 579 for Clinton.

And 62 people voted today.

Pawnee County is split between congressional districts.
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RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #11 on: April 11, 2017, 09:19:42 PM »
6.5 point lead now with 74% in. Probably expands to about 9 points or so.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #12 on: April 11, 2017, 09:42:04 PM »
Quote from: heatcharger on April 11, 2017, 09:39:55 PM
Well Estes' margin just narrowed to 5.7% with 88% reporting. Appears the Election Day vote in Sedgwick was decisively more Democratic than the ED vote elsewhere.

Percentage lead has dropped a bit, but raw vote lead hasn't really. Consistent with an ED split in Sedgwick.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #13 on: April 11, 2017, 10:14:29 PM »
Not sure why people even bother caring about the early vote at this point.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #14 on: April 11, 2017, 11:26:02 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Griffin on April 11, 2017, 10:57:56 PM
Is there anywhere that has precinct-by-precinct results yet?

Here's Sedgwick, anyway:

2017


2016 President


Swing


Turnout as Percent of 2016 President
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