NJ-Kean University: Christie +18 (user search)
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  NJ-Kean University: Christie +18 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ-Kean University: Christie +18  (Read 1701 times)
Badger
badger
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« on: September 27, 2013, 03:52:44 PM »

I am. That's one of the closest margins I've seen in this race.

Though I suspect many undecideds weren't pushed, but will likely swing to Christie.
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Badger
badger
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Posts: 40,424
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2013, 05:28:52 PM »

I am. That's one of the closest margins I've seen in this race.

Though I suspect many undecideds weren't pushed, but will likely swing to Christie.

No. The undecideds are overwhelmingly Democrats who approve somewhat of Christie and don't know anything about Buono, but will ultimately end up voting for the Democrat because that is simply how they align. That's why Christie will win by 8-12, rather than these margins in the 20s we see now. With a popular moderate incumbent in a blue state, why would any Republican be undecided?

Not a bad argument or an inconcievable outcome, but I suspect many undecideds in this poll are low-info independent voters will gravitate towards the governor they know and who "seems alright".
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