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Analysts are starting to talk about Minnesota like a battleground state. Was Biden’s primary performance a sign of things to come?

Donald Trump had a much weaker primary performance in MN than Biden did.

Trump had competition. Biden did not.

(no one took Williamson or Phillips seriously and anyone one could criticize Biden for, one could criticize Philips for as well - except for age).

Yeah, I believe Nikki “Birdbrain” Haley was still in the race at the time, outspending TRUMP 15-to-1 and still getting smoked.

Much different than the underfunded and blackballed Dean Phillips campaign.

Not sure why Biden decided to run again. Literally underperforming downballot by double digits at this moment in several states.

I think he's probably not being fully serious there. However, if he wins, as the term wears on I'm sure he will begin looking at ways he can run again or somehow stay in office anyway.

He can count on congressional Republicans to back him up if he decides to ignore the 22nd Amendment. 

It's interesting just how much influence these people put on polls.

I have no idea if Biden will win GA or not, but it's another case of every actual election since 2018 has shown GA to be moving leftward. The only thing that says it's not are polls and crosstabs (usually of black voters specifically since Biden is usually holding his own with white voters more often than not in GA polls)

Exactly. I think another fallacy is if people see a poll that shows GA blacks like 60 Biden - 10 Trump, they assume the "undecides" will ultimately break even.

The fact that Biden is holding firm with white voters in GA means he needs a big swing from voters of color to win Georgia by as much as some of these polls predict.

I think low black turnout is a much bigger threat to Biden's prospects in GA than black voters swinging noticeably to the right.

This is basically what people are expecting at this point.

Not just POC but also young whites (but Biden seems to gain a little with suburban whites or the elderly to offset those losses).

Lots of progressives staying home make a lot of sense. On some issues the Democrats aren't better than the Republicans or just do what the Republicans do.

A major drop in urban turnout hurts Biden a lot.

Agree, though with the progressives that will stay home/vote third party I think most were never Biden or Democratic voters nor are they voters that are realistic targets for Biden at this point. I've seen very few examples of progressives who actually supported/voted Biden in 2020 and now aren't voting - most of those who claim this are disproven with their social media history.

What is the practical impact of Catholic "blessings" of gay marriages, even though gay sex is sinful. It seems incoherent.

https://twitter.com/Amberisms_/status/1792198517479580118?t=rD-CwjCKCaDpa1qbrxUY...

["He's still got it!"]

"He's still got it!"

Analysts are starting to talk about Minnesota like a battleground state. Was Biden’s primary performance a sign of things to come?

Donald Trump had a much weaker primary performance in MN than Biden did.

Trump had competition. Biden did not.

(no one took Williamson or Phillips seriously and anyone one could criticize Biden for, one could criticize Philips for as well - except for age).

seems about right. In the end it could be Trump 54% Biden 40% Others 6%.

among all Battlegrounds and ex Battleground states, Florida one of the states I’m quite sure Trump would win in double digits. Even though somehow Trump support would collapse considerably between now and election day, he would still win Florida comfortably. Biden and the Democratic brand is just to unpopular here.

I wonder if Trump will win Dade County 55-42 or something like that.

seems about right, but probably high single digits like 9%. The way I see it now, Biden could only win Alachua, Gadsden, Leon, Osceola, Orange, Broward and Palm Beach counties at this point.

I'm with you on this. CBS has Trump leading among FL Hispanics Statewide 52-47. This is consistent with other FL Poll.
There seems to be a massive realignment among FL Hispanics and not just Cubans who traditionally vote Republican. Trump may even win Puerto Ricans, who traditionally backed D Pres Candidates over the last decade.
If Miami-Dade comes in like 2022 the State is going to get called at 8pm Poll Closing.

Look like trump definitely playing on his quite natural Memeness and trying to make Joe biden look like a complete idiot which honestly is kind of working on me
And i remember Republicans said they were now focusing on Minnesota and Virginia since they felt that the swing states were either pretty safe for the Rs or naturally leaning towards them So i got a feeling that trump is going to try to flip those 2 states.

A lot of people are congratulating me on calling Virginia as a battleground. Tremendous golf courses. Tremendous wine. We love our contractors and consultants.

VA is still lean D at the moment, i feel but I guess if you include lean states into the battleground ones than yes, it's a battleground as well.

I expect a Biden +3/+4 win here.