AR Congressional Races 2014

[RogueBeaver]

Cotton reiterates his staunch opposition to the Senate immigration bill in the WSJ, doing the same in conference. I wouldn't be surprised if Big Ag got behind, or at least was more supportive of Pryor, who's in line with them on both this and the farm bill.

[krazen1211]

Tom Cotton will be on Capitol View (the major Arkansas political news show) this Sunday at 8am. 





Let's get ready to rumble!

[RogueBeaver]

Increasing speculation in local media that he'll announce a decision this month, not August. He rarely does local media, but I doubt he'd announce on the show. Though if he did it would be interesting. 

[RogueBeaver]

Cotton will also be on MTP to discuss immigration.

[RogueBeaver]

Bob Costa reports that Cotton's being elevated as a leading anti-G7 spokesman, and according to King he's one of the reasons PTL will die in the House. "I lead from the front, you follow Reid's orders."

[RogueBeaver]

Cotton will be discussing his plans for 2014 on Capitol View tomorrow. Fingers crossed.

[RogueBeaver]

Cotton says on Twitter that "due to breaking news, I won't be on MTP this morning. Arkansans, be sure to tune into Capitol View at 8:30." He's announcing and wants it to be a local one.

[RogueBeaver]

Not quite: Cotton said he's focused on his current job when asked point-blank if he's running, but reiterates his April line about the August recess.

[RogueBeaver]

2 long Cotton features from NRO and RCP.

[RogueBeaver]

First Dem files in the 4th, a no-name.

NRO reported last Friday that Cotton will be blitzing in August on immigration. IMO would be a great campaign kickoff too.

[windjammer]

Initially, I thought Cotton would be a strong candidate. Now, it seems he's just an another tea party member who risks to alienate voters with his far right speech.

[Morning in Atlas]

Initially, I thought Cotton would be a strong candidate. Now, it seems he's just an another tea party member who risks to alienate voters with his far right speech.

This is Arkansas.

[RogueBeaver]

Yep, which is why Pryor would be foolish to play up voting records. Not that we have any clue what his strategy is.

[windjammer]

Yes it's arkansas, a social conservative state, not a libertarian conservative state, if you see the difference.

[RogueBeaver]

A couple of Dems are considering the 2nd. Also, Darr will be on local radio tomorrow with 2014 among the topics. He said before that he'll announce this month whether he's running for reelection or in the 4th. So either he says he needs more time, punts or announces he's not running for reelection.

[RogueBeaver]

Tolbert: Cotton will announce later this summer. Guess we'll hear more in the next week or 2. Filing deadline's only 7 months away.

[RogueBeaver]

As expected, Darr punted and said his decision depends on Cotton's. I think he'd place 2nd in the primary if Westerman ran, win if Westerman didn't run. Darr hasn't yet moved into the 4th, FWIW. LOL. He did go to university there, BTW.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

How vulnerable exactly is Mark Pryor? Only a few months a go, he was in Mark Begich territory; In a red state with pretty good approval ratings. Then he voted against gun control and Demorats turned against him, and now he's in pure tossup. We haven't seen any real polls lately of the race, only GOP polls. So how vulnerable is he really, and how are his approvals?

[RogueBeaver]

How vulnerable exactly is Mark Pryor? Only a few months a go, he was in Mark Begich territory; In a red state with pretty good approval ratings. Then he voted against gun control and Demorats turned against him, and now he's in pure tossup. We haven't seen any real polls lately of the race, only GOP polls. So how vulnerable is he really, and how are his approvals?

Most vulnerable incumbent Senator, easily. Last real poll was done in February, pegged him at 42/35/23. Pryor lacks political skills, concrete accomplishments, influence and any real base. All sides peg him as a Moderately Heroic weathervane. That's just his side of the equation.

[RogueBeaver]

Womack all but takes himself out and glowingly endorses Cotton in the process. Cotton's spox says he's focused on the House's final week and can't comment specifically on a timeline. 2-3 weeks is my guess.

[MalaspinaGold]

How positive are we that Cotton is running?

[RogueBeaver]

How positive are we that Cotton is running?

99.99%.

[RogueBeaver]

Darr says he opposed Medexpansion but wouldn't have vetoed. Probably would've been overridden given the idiotic simple majority rather than supermajority required.

[RogueBeaver]

BREAKING: Halter has dropped out of the gubernatorial race, doesn't mention further political plans.

[windjammer]

Lol goodbye. Maybe he will successfully explode an opportunity for the democrats again. He's a poison.