How can Trump win Virginia? (user search)
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  How can Trump win Virginia? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How can Trump win Virginia?  (Read 1290 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: June 21, 2016, 09:20:29 PM »

Trump is a worse fit for Virginia than just about any other swing state. His appeal as a candidate fits best to blue collar, low income and low education rural whites, which is exactly what Virginia is shifting away from. The only thing he can do is hope for a divided Democratic party with low turnout and enthusiasm and try to maximize his support among the Appalachian areas of the state and rural whites. This is why he'll do so well in Kentucky and West Virginia but is more likely going to lose here.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2016, 11:03:56 PM »

Trump is a worse fit for Virginia than just about any other swing state. His appeal as a candidate fits best to blue collar, low income and low education rural whites, which is exactly what Virginia is shifting away from. The only thing he can do is hope for a divided Democratic party with low turnout and enthusiasm and try to maximize his support among the Appalachian areas of the state and rural whites. This is why he'll do so well in Kentucky and West Virginia but is more likely going to lose here.

Colorado?  At least VA has VA-09 where Trump will do better than Romney.  What the heck does Colorado have for him?

Yeah, Colorado is bad too and arguably worse. I do think whatever problems Trump has in the Denver area are much smaller than the problems he has in NoVA. Colorado doesn't really have anything but the net amount of problems may be close.
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