The previous two posters in your state

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Conservative Guy: 55

Sam: 42

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Not-Madigan scrapes by 48-46. He is a decent fit for Texas suburbia and would win back some of the vote there, not too much though because of the current resistance environment there, would not see much change in the big cities, but would do pretty much worse everywhere else in the state. America's Sweetheart would get somewhat higher percentages nearly everywhere else in the state, and also the libertarian would get like in excess of 5% of the vote. This is mostly because America's Sweetheart is actually a mediocre to ok fit for the rest of Texas, and I don't think the rest of very socially conservative Texas would be thrilled about an LGBT nominee for the presidency. This is just strategic analysis on my part guys, as much as you may point fingers and yell at me, this is pretty accurate.

Ps. just a sample, I think Not-Madigan would carry King County 70-20-10.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I'd assume this would be a democratic primary and i would double that assumption by saying the electorate is largely split between New Democratic centrism offered by Bagel and more populist toned progressivism offered by Peb. The South and the southern black vote would be the main battleground probably divided on a age boundary. In New York, Pebs Northeastern connections along with a probable high youth turnout would flip the state decisively.

Comrade Peb - 53.83%
Bagel23 - 43.19%

That's a much better result for me than I would expect

(skip me).