McCain cannot win unless (user search)
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  McCain cannot win unless (search mode)
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Author Topic: McCain cannot win unless  (Read 3164 times)
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« on: October 04, 2008, 01:39:38 PM »

I know four weeks is an eternity but really barring a miracle McCain has no chance.

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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2008, 02:22:36 PM »

You missed the point obviously.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2008, 06:15:31 PM »

I must have. In the graph you posted, the polls went form Carter +6 four weeks before the election to Ford +1 right before the election. Carter ended up winning by 2. So, yes, it tightened, but Carter still won, just like he was going to if the election had been held four weeks earlier. This election should also tighten: I don't expect Obama to win by the 6-8 points he's currently polling, but it's very difficult to be leading by that much and then lose.

A lot of experts have said that if the election was held two days later Ford would have won. My point is the state of the race NOW is probably not how it will look a month from now.
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2008, 07:49:12 PM »

we weren't on the verge of losing our banking system in 76...fear is a very powerful motivator, that's why McCain's chances are almost zero barring something that changes the dynamics of the race

“They must feel so frustrated, so defeated, so lost, so futureless in the prevailing system that they are willing to let go of the past and change the future. This acceptance is the reformation essential to any revolution.” -Alinsky, Obamas Hero
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StatesRights
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,126
Political Matrix
E: 7.61, S: 0.00

« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2008, 07:56:09 PM »

we weren't on the verge of losing our banking system in 76...fear is a very powerful motivator, that's why McCain's chances are almost zero barring something that changes the dynamics of the race

“They must feel so frustrated, so defeated, so lost, so futureless in the prevailing system that they are willing to let go of the past and change the future. This acceptance is the reformation essential to any revolution.” -Alinsky, Obamas Hero

dude, check the scoreboard, McCain is down 12 points in the forth quarter and Obama has the ball and is driving for another score.

Yeah but the Democrats are like Florida State. We'll stop them, they'll go for a field goal, kick it wide left and we'll storm back with the 2 minute drill.
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