Senate: Counties to Watch on Election Night. (user search)
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  Senate: Counties to Watch on Election Night. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Senate: Counties to Watch on Election Night.  (Read 942 times)
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,807
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« on: September 20, 2014, 12:52:16 PM »
Quote from: Antonio V on September 20, 2014, 10:30:49 AM
You should base yourself on aggregate percentage distance from the statewide numbers. "Voting for the State winner" is a pretty useless definition if the county was won by 30 points while the State was won by 3.

But a county won by a R or D by 30 points won't have voted for the winner every election since 2000.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,807
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04
« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2014, 01:47:47 PM »
Quote from: Antonio V on September 21, 2014, 04:11:33 AM
See, Alamosa County clearly isn't a good bellwether if Bennet carried it by 14 points.

But we have Jefferson, which is the perfect bellwether.
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