The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 146829 times)
Chunk Yogurt for President!
CELTICEMPIRE
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #125 on: May 06, 2014, 08:42:31 PM »

I really hope Jones can win against Griffin's campaign of misinformation.  I know he's been challenged before, but it's never been this close.
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rbt48
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« Reply #126 on: May 06, 2014, 08:42:52 PM »

Well that was boring.

I was hoping Tillis would get like 49% of the vote so that things would get weird.
I don't understand.  The leader only needs a 40% plurality to avoid a runoff.
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Flake
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #127 on: May 06, 2014, 08:46:19 PM »

Congrats Tillis and Hagan

What an uninteresting night
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Miles
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« Reply #128 on: May 06, 2014, 08:52:25 PM »

Its looking like Alma Adams avoids a runoff in NC12. Almost all of Meck is in and she's at 45% (per the state site).

'Would be impressive if she can pull this off.
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badgate
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« Reply #129 on: May 06, 2014, 08:59:58 PM »

Clay Aiken is only very narrowly winning his primary.
http://www.politico.com/2014-election/results/map/house/north-carolina/#.U2mS-F6M6f0

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Miles
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« Reply #130 on: May 06, 2014, 09:00:43 PM »

^ A runoff would be really nasty.

Baby Berger is still at 37% with over 60%.

He's under 40% in many of the VA border counties and only up 4 in Guilford County.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #131 on: May 06, 2014, 09:02:58 PM »

So AP over NCBE?
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badgate
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« Reply #132 on: May 06, 2014, 09:03:05 PM »

Who is Baby Berger?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #133 on: May 06, 2014, 09:03:15 PM »

lol Aiken's internal polling had him up 20 in the primary. Garbage.

Isn't Keith Crisco like 70 years old?
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LeBron
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« Reply #134 on: May 06, 2014, 09:03:33 PM »

On Issue 7, which #KeepsClevelandStrong, it's passing 62-38 (42,673 - 26,506) even with low turnout and a number of defectee "Democrats" who opposed the issue because "mah weed and alcohol."

Not a particularly unexpected result, but Sad
It's really for the county's benefit, though. According to Crain's Cleveland Business, "The tax works out to one cent per glass of wine, one-and-a-half cents per bottle of beer, and less than five cents per pack of cigarettes. They are small prices to pay to maintain these valuable assets for another generation." So the tax isn't as "killer" as people think and it's simply just a renewal of the same tax from the 1990s to be extended another 2 decades. I think people, especially the poor, can give up a few extra cents to pay to maintain our sports stadiums (which btw sports owners already pay a large chunk of to maintain) and as a result, get a return from the owners by investing in our schools and community, prevent cuts to county services, boosts population growth and activity in Cleveland, and will help our unemployment situation significantly.

In NC-2, Aiken's leading 42-40 over the state Secretary of Commerce with 1/3rd of precincts in there, so here's hoping Aiken can pull it off! Besides the GOP primary, that's one of the few races I care about in North Carolina.

And for the Ohio U.S. House races since those haven't been mentioned yet:

OH-1: Rep Steve Chabot (R), wins his primary unopposed and will face either Fred Kundrata or Jim Prues depending on who wins the Democratic primary. The primary is too close to call. Chabot is safe though b/c Prues is pretty much perennial and Kundrata is a freaking former Republican. Definitely no Steve Driehaus and the chances of picking of Chabot are little to none.

OH-2: Rep Brad Wenstrup (R), wins his primary unopposed and Marek Tyszkiewicz (D), a businessman, seems to be the frontrunner to face Wenstrup. If William Smith gets the nomination though, it will be Wenstrup v. Smith II. Ronny Richards is a Vietnam War veteran if he gets the nom and Sheil is a musician. Wenstrup is safe though (safer than Chabot, in fact) and the district is east of Cincinnati near the border of KY and WV.

OH-3: Rep Joyce Beatty (D), wins her primary unopposed, but the GOP primary is kind of interesting and close at the moment between an NRA darling in Eric Vennon and a former councilman in John Adams (not the state rep and not the President)! Beatty's of course, safe no matter who's nominee. Her district is Columbus and doesn't contain many of the wealthy burbs.

OH-4: Rep Jim Jordan (R), a hard-right conservative who unfortunately Lorain County is stuck with goes unopposed both in the primary and general, but there is an Oberlin teacher and union activist, Janet Patricia Garrett (D), who might make the ballot in November if she can get 50 write-in votes tonight which shouldn't be much of a problem b/c like I said, OH-4 has Atlas red Elyria.

OH-5: Rep Bob Latta (R) wins re-nomination unopposed and his opponent will be Robert Fry (D). The district is in NW Ohio and doesn't contain Toledo either so besides carrying Wood County, the Fryman is out of luck.

OH-6: The interesting one. Rep Bill Johnson (R) wins re-nomination unopposed and homophobic bigot and former state rep, Jennifer Garrison (D), easily beats her opponent Greg Howard (D) who's a little-known farmer. Johnson has the advantage and he even managed to beat former Rep Charlie Wilson in 2012, but I wouldn't count Garrison out, yet.

OH-7: Absolute shame what happened here. Rep Bob Gibbs (R) wins his primary and automatically wins re-election in November besides facing a no-name Independent b/c John Boccieri let us down and actually didn't run here and the other Democrat, Robert Fisher, dropped out a few months ago, so what could have been competitive now isn't, at all. Sad

OH-8: Rep John Boehner (R) has unfortunately defeated his main threat, Tea Party challenger J.D. Winteregg, a former French teacher, 69-22 and not that it matters really, but the Democratic nominee looks to be college professor Tom Poetter who leads Guyette 55-45.  

OH-9: (My district!) Rep Marcy Kaptur (D) was supposed to have a primary challenger in Cory Hoffman (D), an attorney, but he dropped out and Kaptur easily wins. She'll either face Robert Horrocks (R), a salesman, or Richard May (R), a Tea Partier who supports repealing Obamacare and leads 73-27! *Crosses fingers for May to get the nom*

OH-10: Rep Mike Turner (R) easily beats his primary challenger 79-21 and Dems, no matter if it's Klepinger or Connor, a veteran will be facing Turner in the general in a district that isn't all that conservative. Turner's favored of course (and in fact, he beat Sharen Neuhardt in 2012), but not safe yet.

OH-11: Rep Marcia Fudge (D) wins re-nomination unopposed and Mark Zetzer (R), an anti-tax activist, wins the GOP Primary unopposed. Yeah.....Fudge will win.

OH-12: Rep Pat Tiberi (R) one of the safest incumbents in OH behind Boehner and Jordan wins re-nomination unopposed and Democrats have nominated David Tibbs who formerly worked for the U.S. Treasury. There's also a Green candidate in the race to, so all the more benefit to Tiberi. Safe R.

OH-13: Rep Tim Ryan (D) beats his primary challenger, John Luchansky (D), 85-15. Luchansky wanted to make known some murder that upset him from 1996, but his candidacy was totally a joke and didn't focus on Ryan or the issues at all. There's also a write-in Republican trying to challenge Ryan, but Ryan's a great Congressman and will get re-elected.

OH-14: The big one of the night! 59% of precincts are reporting and Rep David Joyce (R) who has the backing former Rep Steve LaTourette leads state representative Matt Lynch (R) 56-44 with about 4,000 votes between them. Michael Wager (D), an attorney and former Cuyahoga County Port Authority Chair, is running as the lone Democrat. Lynch is Tea Party backed and FreedomWorks endorsed running on a "Faith, Family and Freedom" platform and thinks Joyce is "not conservative enough" and a liberal Republican lol. Wager also got into the game and noted how Lynch is "too extreme" for Ohio because of his OH Right to Life and Nat'l Assoc. for Gun Rights endorsements or in other words, trying to get conservatives to appeal to him to vote for him b/c clearly, Wager would have a much better shot against Lynch than Joyce. The GOP primary is still close to call imo, but tilting towards Joyce.

OH-15: Polling from October 2013 had Rep Steve Stivers (R) in trouble, but he's likely to get re-elected. He beat his perennial primary challenger 90-10 and is facing his old 2012 Democratic challenger, Scott Wharton, a pilot.

OH-16: Rep Jim Renacci (R) wins his primary unopposed and Dems have a strong candidate now in former state rep Pete Crossland who leads little known challenger Donenwirth 59-41. It probably leans Renacci in the general.
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Miles
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« Reply #135 on: May 06, 2014, 09:04:07 PM »

The AP has only 20K votes total cast in CD3.

Thats seems really darn low.



Phil Berger, Jr.
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #136 on: May 06, 2014, 09:06:35 PM »

According to polling, wasn't Tillis one of the weaker candidates due to his ties to the severely unpopular Governor and Assembly? The only thing that made him more formidable than Brannon was that the RNC would support him fully.
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Miles
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« Reply #137 on: May 06, 2014, 09:08:03 PM »

^ Basically, and he's much less gaffe-prone.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #138 on: May 06, 2014, 09:09:14 PM »

Well that was boring.

I was hoping Tillis would get like 49% of the vote so that things would get weird.
I don't understand.  The leader only needs a 40% plurality to avoid a runoff.

I didn't realize that. Just assumed you needed 50%.

40% seems so arbitrary.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #139 on: May 06, 2014, 09:11:29 PM »

AP calls NC-3 for Jones.
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Miles
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« Reply #140 on: May 06, 2014, 09:11:36 PM »

Yes!
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Maxwell
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« Reply #141 on: May 06, 2014, 09:12:34 PM »

Politico also calls it for Jones.

Dominating!
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Miles
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« Reply #142 on: May 06, 2014, 09:15:51 PM »

Meanwhile, the state site just now changed it to Jones leading.

Guess the AP was the better source.
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Miles
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« Reply #143 on: May 06, 2014, 09:44:41 PM »

A few very quick maps:

CD7

Rouzer (blue)
White (red)



CD3

Jones (blue)
Griffin (red)
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Vern
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« Reply #144 on: May 06, 2014, 09:49:40 PM »

NC 6 GOP race will be a cool one to do.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #145 on: May 06, 2014, 09:49:56 PM »

^Yeah, lol. I'll get to that one Cheesy

Wow, NC-12 called for Adams.

How bout that.
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Morning in Atlas
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« Reply #146 on: May 06, 2014, 09:51:08 PM »


I applaud the people of North Carolina's coast for making the right decision, and I look forward to seeing a long career in Congress.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #147 on: May 06, 2014, 10:00:40 PM »

I'm glad Jones won, but I think that after this term, he'll retire. Estabishment guys are pretty ready to off him.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #148 on: May 06, 2014, 10:03:22 PM »

CD6 has too much of Guilford left out to do a map, but here's CD2.

Its still really close. Aiken (blue) is barely up over Crisco (red). Morris (green) must be from Hoke County:

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badgate
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« Reply #149 on: May 06, 2014, 10:03:54 PM »

Aiken has moved up to 41%, but POLITICO still hasn't called it despite 99% reporting.
http://www.politico.com/2014-election/results/map/house/north-carolina/

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