WaPo/ABC Poll: Obama 49-Romney 46

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

The race is statistically tied, as it has been in all the five surveys from the Washington Post. But Obama still leads by three points, up from 2 two weeks ago among likely voters.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/presidential-contest-tight-nationally-ahead-of-second-debate/2012/10/14/fe5fd9a4-1633-11e2-8792-cf5305eddf60_story_1.html


Obama leads on the economy still.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

And the debate didn't help Romney's perception on Middle-Class issues.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Gass3268]

The Biden Bump!

[Lief 🗽]

Excellent. Obama might win re-election yet.

[Lief 🗽]

The voter contact question is interesting.

[Marston]

Nice!

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Thank God...

It makes sense that while Dem enthusiasm is only up 8% since August, Romney enthusiasm is up 14%, 10% since the debate.

[Cliffy]

Bwwwaaaahaaahaaaa.  Romney lost a point since the presidential debate, wow that's believable, sure are a lot of polls suggesting otherwise.  Wow this is better than PPP....


Very telling they have to bump the sample up to get a lead.....

and he only gets 47% approval with a D+9 Sample. wow!

You must be logged in to read this quote.

this is a joke right?

If you used a Likely turnout of D+3, Romney's up by 2 like Gallup or Rasmussen.

[Skill and Chance]

The verdict is in: Biden is officially a more eloquent debater than Obama.

*I can't believe I am typing that right now!

[LiberalJunkie]

Great news!!

[J. J.]

They don't have a stellar track record.  I'm always suspicious of newspaper polls.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Bwwwaaaahaaahaaaa.  Romney lost a point since the presidential debate, wow that's believable, sure are a lot of polls suggesting otherwise.  Wow this is better than PPP....


Very telling they have to bump the sample up to get a lead.....

and he only gets 47% approval with a D+9 Sample. wow!

You must be logged in to read this quote.

this is a joke right?

If you used a Likely turnout of D+3, He's up by 2 like Gallup or Rasmussen.

No one, including Gallup, weighs polls by Party ID. Rasmussen is the only one who does that. And are Republicans really going back to the Party ID argument? See where we've come in a week.

[Cliffy]

Thought Gallup does a state of the race which is basically the same thing?

Regardless, so if the election were held today and Democrats rolled out +9 over Republicans Obama would win by 3 right?  That's great news because it isn't happening and you know it.  Keep looking at the bottom line results on your polls and ignoring the rest. Carry on nothing to see here.

Bwwwaaaahaaahaaaa.  Romney lost a point since the presidential debate, wow that's believable, sure are a lot of polls suggesting otherwise.  Wow this is better than PPP....


Very telling they have to bump the sample up to get a lead.....

and he only gets 47% approval with a D+9 Sample. wow!

You must be logged in to read this quote.

this is a joke right?

If you used a Likely turnout of D+3, He's up by 2 like Gallup or Rasmussen.

No one, including Gallup, weighs polls by Party ID. Rasmussen is the only one who does that. And are Republicans really going back to the Party ID argument? See where we've come in a week.

[LiberalJunkie]

Thought Gallup does a state of the race which is basically the same thing?

Regardless, so if the election were held today and Democrats rolled out +9 over Republicans Obama would win by 3 right?  That's great news because it isn't happening and you know it.  Keep looking at the bottom line results on your polls and ignoring the rest. Carry on nothing to see here.

Bwwwaaaahaaahaaaa.  Romney lost a point since the presidential debate, wow that's believable, sure are a lot of polls suggesting otherwise.  Wow this is better than PPP....


Very telling they have to bump the sample up to get a lead.....

and he only gets 47% approval with a D+9 Sample. wow!

You must be logged in to read this quote.

this is a joke right?

If you used a Likely turnout of D+3, He's up by 2 like Gallup or Rasmussen.

No one, including Gallup, weighs polls by Party ID. Rasmussen is the only one who does that. And are Republicans really going back to the Party ID argument? See where we've come in a week.

Are you related to Politico?

[Cliffy]

Question why isn't this in the national poll thread?  So we can post national polls out here?  I got called out for posting absentee outside of the absentee thread and I didn't realize there was one. Just checking on rules.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

...that's the National TRACKING Poll thread.

[King]

Note: Tea Party members self identify as Independents.  If not, the sample would be closer than D+9

[Cliffy]

Thought Gallup does a state of the race which is basically the same thing?

Regardless, so if the election were held today and Democrats rolled out +9 over Republicans Obama would win by 3 right?  That's great news because it isn't happening and you know it.  Keep looking at the bottom line results on your polls and ignoring the rest. Carry on nothing to see here.

Bwwwaaaahaaahaaaa.  Romney lost a point since the presidential debate, wow that's believable, sure are a lot of polls suggesting otherwise.  Wow this is better than PPP....


Very telling they have to bump the sample up to get a lead.....

and he only gets 47% approval with a D+9 Sample. wow!

You must be logged in to read this quote.

this is a joke right?

If you used a Likely turnout of D+3, He's up by 2 like Gallup or Rasmussen.

No one, including Gallup, weighs polls by Party ID. Rasmussen is the only one who does that. And are Republicans really going back to the Party ID argument? See where we've come in a week.

Are you related to Politico?

Nope, went throught that the other night.  But I take it he would agree with me that this falls in line with Gallup and Ras?

[DrScholl]

I wondered when we would see the return of unskewering polls. That didn't take long at all.

[Likely Voter]

More evidence of the Obama field operation...

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Cliffy]

More evidence of the Obama field operation...

You must be logged in to read this quote.

I'm guessing the margin of error would be pretty high on this for either side?  Wouldn't it consist of smaller state by state subsamples?

[dspNY]

The biggest takeaway from this poll is not the top line result, but Obama's 10 point advantage in direct voter contacts in swing states. If that's true, Obama is badly outhustling Romney in the ground game

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Question why isn't this in the national poll thread?  So we can post national polls out here?  I got called out for posting absentee outside of the absentee thread and I didn't realize there was one. Just checking on rules.

The National Tracking Poll thread is for polls (Like Galkup, Rasmussen, RAND, IBD-TIP, Reuters/Ipsos, and others) that release results every day, or almost everyday.
The General Election Poll Thread is for national and state level polls for the 2012 General Election.

[Cliffy]

I wondered when we would see the return of unskewering polls. That didn't take long at all.

Telling that they felt they needed to make this statement:) basically saying don't read to much into this lol.  

Just curious do you think the national turnout will be D+9?

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Do you know what's happened to national self-ID of Republicans v Independents since 2009?

There's more than one reason why Romney is doing so much better among Independents than McCain did....

[Cliffy]

Do you know what's happened to national self-ID of Republicans v Independents since 2009?

There's more than one reason why Romney is doing so much better among Independents than McCain did....

Right, right,
You didn't answer my question?  Do you think Democrats are going to turnout 9pts higher than republicans nationally??  Doesn't seem even WaPo does....