2nd quarter fundraising megathread

[Mr. Morden]

$8.3 million raised by Carson for the quarter:

http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2015/07/01/ben-carson-raised-8-3-million-in-2nd-quarter/

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[Mr. Morden]

For comparison, here are the #s from the 2nd quarter of 2011:

Here are the complete fundraising numbers for Q2, according to the FEC:

RAISED

18.383.257 $   Romney
  4.518.948 $   Paul
  4.335.695 $   Pawlenty
  3.639.723 $   Bachmann
  2.580.726 $   Cain
  2.102.916 $   Gingrich
     582.348 $   Santorum
     180.237 $   Johnson
     136.875 $   McCotter (House)

CASH ON HAND

12.715.495 $   Romney
  3.379.067 $   Bachmann (+ 265.639 $ cash on hand in her House committee)
  2.966.177 $   Paul (+ 1.556.057 $ cash on hand in his House committee)
  2.001.090 $   Pawlenty
     481.895 $   Cain
     322.222 $   Gingrich
     521.036 $   McCotter (House)
     229.115 $   Santorum
         6.007 $   Johnson

I didn't find anything about Jon Huntsman, neither his candidate committee, nor his Horizon PAC.

Obama for America:

RAISED

46.323.209 $

CASH ON HAND

37.110.346 $

Obama Victory Fund 2012 (DNC Money)

RAISED

39.259.886 $

CASH ON HAND

1.694.278 $

[Mr. Morden]

Separate from her actual campaign, the pro-Clinton Super PACs will report having raised over $20 million for the year so far:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/soros-helps-pro-clinton-super-pacs-to-20-million-haul-119669.html

Also, no total number from Sanders yet, but he reportedly raised ~$8 million online:

http://edition.cnn.com/2015/07/01/politics/bernie-sanders-fundraiser-clinton-poll/

[Mr. Morden]

You're right.  The math doesn't work.  If the limit is $2700 per person, then the number her campaign is giving for % of donors under $100 is impossible.

Even if she's raising general election $ in a separate account, and counting that in the $45 million, the math still doesn't work.

[Mr. Morden]

I think the issue with the math is the 50,000 number.  What is your source for that?  Because this says:

http://www.krgv.com/campaign-clinton-raised-over-45-million/33902614

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That makes it sound like 50,000 was the target number of donations over a short interval of time, not the whole quarter.  She would have to have well north of 100,000 donors total for the other numbers to work.

[Mr. Morden]

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-07-05/ted-cruz-raised-10-million-in-second-quarter-campaign-says

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[Mr. Morden]

Walker has raised nearly $30M.

But he only has a testing the waters committee at this point, doesn't he?  I don't actually remember what the fundraising limits are on that.  It's not the same as a formal campaign or an exploratory committee.

[Mr. Morden]

Fiorina's numbers:

http://www.nationaljournal.com/2016-elections/carly-fiorina-raises-meager-1-4-million-in-two-months-20150706

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[Mr. Morden]

Also, her Super PAC raised $3.4 million:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/carly-fiorina-2016-fundraising-119783.html

[Mr. Morden]

The $100 million+ number raised by Bush's Super PAC is for the first six months of the year, not the second quarter:

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/jeb-bush-super-pac-raises-more-than-100-million-in-6-months/

So are you comparing apples to apples when you compare that fundraising haul to the other figures?  Is the $24 million for Clinton's Super PACs, for example, just for Q2 or the whole year so far?

[Mr. Morden]

Average dollars raised per day (by the campaigns, not the Super PACs):

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2015/07/07/guess-which-presidential-candidate-has-been-raising-more-than-half-a-million-a-day/

Bush $760k
Clinton $570k
Sanders $242k
Cruz $142k
Carson $87k
Fiorina $24k

Of course, there tends to be a big rush of fundraising in the days following the announcement.  Since Bush announced so late in the quarter, that helps explain his high $/day figure.

[Mr. Morden]

Kasich's Super PACs: Raised $11.5 million from their creation on May 1st until the end of the quarter on June 30th:

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/247549-kasich-aligned-groups-raise-115-million

Meanwhile, Rick Perry's campaign raised $1.07 million for the quarter:

http://edition.cnn.com/2015/07/10/politics/rick-perry-super-pac-fundraising-17-million/index.html

While two pro-Rick Perry Super PACs raised $12.8 million in the first half of the year.  And (not included, because it was just created in the early days of July), a third pro-Perry Super PAC just got $4 million from a single donor(!).

[Mr. Morden]

Paul's campaign raises $7 million for the quarter:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2015/07/10/rand-pauls-presidential-campaign-raises-7-million/

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[Mr. Morden]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2015/07/08/pro-rubio-super-pac-announces-16-million-fundraising-haul/

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[Mr. Morden]

WaPo visualizes the fundraising universe:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2015/07/10/the-universe-of-2016-fundraising/

[Mr. Morden]

Here's a timeline of when everyone announced:



And how much their campaigns have raised for the 2nd quarter:

Cruz (in all quarter): $10 million
Paul (in since April 7): $7 million
Clinton (in since April 12): $45 million
Rubio (in since April 13): hasn't released info yet
Sanders (in since April 30): $15 million
Carson (in since May 3): $8.3 million
Fiorina (in since May 4): $1.4 million
Huckabee (in since May 5): hasn't released info yet
Santorum (in since May 27): hasn't released info yet
Pataki (in since May 28): hasn't released info yet
O'Malley (in since May 30): hasn't released info yet
Graham (in since June 1): hasn't released info yet
Chafee (in since June 3): hasn't released info yet
Perry (in since June 4): $1.07 million
Bush (in since June 15): $11 million
Trump (in since June 16): hasn't released info yet
Jindal (in since June 24): hasn't released info yet
Christie (in since June 30): hasn't released info yet

I'd say the big one we're still waiting on is Rubio.  We have Super PAC #s for him, but what about his campaign?

[Mr. Morden]

Chafee has put the rest of the 2016 field on notice with his towering $30,000 fundraising total for the 2nd quarter:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/lincoln-chafee-2016-fundraising-120014.html

Will the rest of the field now be shamed into dropping out?

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[Mr. Morden]

This AP story says that Rubio's campaign raised $12 million for the quarter:

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=11480206

But why is the New Zealand Herald the only source running with this?  Is the story real?  Or some kind of American-Kiwi mistranslation?  Because I don't understand why the New Zealand Herald of all places would be getting this kind of exclusive.

[Mr. Morden]

Politico confirms the Rubio $12 million story:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/marco-rubio-2016-fundraising-12-million-120013.html

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Should be noted that Rubio's in "third" if you add up all the Super PAC and outside groups.  If you're just counting $ raised by the campaign itself, then Rubio's leading the GOP field (yet behind both Clinton and Sanders).

[Mr. Morden]

Right.  Chafee's at ~$400,000 if you're counting all the money he lent to his own campaign.  But he only raised ~$30,000 from people not named Lincoln Chafee.

It would also be interesting to see the cash on hand #s for all these candidates.  Those that raise the most tend to also have the greatest expenses, and so burn through their cash more quickly.

[Mr. Morden]

Huckabee's campaign raises $2 million, while his Super PACs raise $6 million:

http://www.politico.com/story/2015/07/mike-huckabees-2016-fundraising-2-million-120122.html

[Mr. Morden]

Updated list of date the candidate entered the race vs. how much $ they raised for the quarter…anyone want to make a graph?:

Cruz (in all quarter): $10 million
Paul (in since April 7): $7 million
Clinton (in since April 12): $45 million
Rubio (in since April 13): $12 million
Sanders (in since April 30): $15 million
Carson (in since May 3): $8.3 million
Fiorina (in since May 4): $1.4 million
Huckabee (in since May 5): $2 million
Santorum (in since May 27): hasn't released info yet
Pataki (in since May 28): hasn't released info yet
O'Malley (in since May 30): hasn't released info yet
Graham (in since June 1): hasn't released info yet
Chafee (in since June 3): $30,000 (plus another $300,000+ from himself)
Perry (in since June 4): $1.07 million
Bush (in since June 15): $11 million
Trump (in since June 16): hasn't released info yet
Jindal (in since June 24): hasn't released info yet
Christie (in since June 30): hasn't released info yet

[Mr. Morden]

Right, I was wondering more if someone wanted to make a graph plotting # of days the candidate was in the race in the 2nd quarter vs. $ they raised.

[Mr. Morden]

Christie's Super PAC rasied $11 million from February through June.  It's only spent ~$300,000 so far, so it has $10.7 million cash on hand:

http://edition.cnn.com/2015/07/14/politics/christie-super-pac-money/

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[Mr. Morden]

Amounts raised in 2nd quarter:

Jindal: $580,000 (only in the race for ~1 week this quarter)
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/247997-jindal-lags-in-early-fundraising

O'Malley: $2 million (only in the race for ~1 month this quarter)
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/fundraising/248034-omalley-raises-2-million-for-2016-bid

Santorum: $608,000 (only in the race for ~1 month this quarter)
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/248079-santorum-stumbles-in-second-quarter-fundraising

Those stories also note that Jindal ended the quarter with $513,715 cash on hand and Santorum ended with $232,018 cash on hand, but didn't mention the equivalent number for O'Malley.