Explain. Brown is doing far better than Smith or Rubens would be doing. Despite being an obvious carpetbagger he has been able to go from being down high single-digits a couple months ago to within the margin of error. While his chances are still below 50%, it is certainly within the realm of possibility that he wins on election night.
Yeah, I don't quite know why you can say Brown is worse than Tillis or Rounds (who's actually doing the exact opposite that Brown's done).
New Hampshire fluctuates ridiculously with the national mood; a non-joke candidate would be leading by about 5-6%.