Which state would flip to a Democrat first: South Carolina or Missouri (user search)
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  Which state would flip to a Democrat first: South Carolina or Missouri (search mode)
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Poll
Question: South Carolina or Missouri?
#1
South Carolina
 
#2
Missouri
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 89

Author Topic: Which state would flip to a Democrat first: South Carolina or Missouri  (Read 4474 times)
Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself
omegascarlet
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


« on: September 05, 2017, 10:57:43 AM »

4 years ago,  it would easily be MO. Now, it's a good question. It depends on how much less open rural MO has become during a landslide scenario.
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Since I'm the mad scientist proclaimed by myself
omegascarlet
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,071


« Reply #1 on: September 05, 2017, 12:06:11 PM »

I guess I hadn't really considered this, too, but wasn't that special election in rural SC (that got totally overshadowed by the GA-6 one) surprisngly close, too? 

Yes, but it had much lower turnout, and IIRC the Democrat was polling down 10 points. At the same time the SC Democrat didn't get many resources.
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