New Tradesports rankings

[Nutmeg]

Nomination
Obama 55.0
Clinton 53.0
Obama 42.0

?

[Speed of Sound]

Nomination
Obama 55.0
Clinton 53.0
Obama 42.0

?

Typo of some sort. Here are the numbers right now:

Nomination:

Obama 55.5
Clinton 41.0
Edwards 2.7
Gore 1.0

[© tweed]

IEM closing prices 01/05

Obama 53.2
Clinton 42.5
Edwards 4.0
Rest of Field 1.0

McCain 37.3
Giuliani 28.1
Huckabee 14.3
Romney 14.1
Thompson 2.6
Rest of Field 2.0

[© tweed]

Obama Intrade stock on fire...

Obama 60.5
Clinton 38.9
Edwards 2.5
Gore 1.0
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

McCain 34.8
Giuliani 29.2
Romney 15.8 [but bid/ask significantly lower]
Huckabee 14.8
Paul 3.4
Thompson 2.5
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1



3 candidates not in the race lead Hunter.

[Mr. Morden]

Edwards surges into second place in the Dem. VP market:

Bayh 16.4
Edwards 16.0
Clark 12.5
Richardson 12.0
Biden 9.4
Gore 9.0
Obama 7.2
Strickland 5.6
Webb 5.3

[© tweed]

hah, good find.  his sucking up to Obama last night spurred the thought in my head, at least.  but I can't see the Dems retreading a loser.

[Mr. Morden]

And now Edwards has edged Bayh as top dog in the Dem VP market;

Edwards 16.0
Bayh 15.3

[Sam Spade]

If I was a betting man, I'd be looking for a precise point of droppage when to buy back Hillary, but I don't think we're there yet. (thinking after NH, at earliest)

[Verily]

And now Edwards has edged Bayh as top dog in the Dem VP market;

Edwards 16.0
Bayh 15.3

Stupid. Who's going to choose Edwards? Obama? No, he needs experience, a "statesman". Clinton? No, she's already struck up with Bayh.

[Mr. Morden]

Yeah, I agree.  Edwards makes no sense as VP.  Clinton seems to barely be able to contain her rage at Edwards.  Hard to see her picking him.  And I really can't see Obama choosing someone with barely any more experience than him, unless there's a *really* compelling reason to do so.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I'd much rather take Edwards than Bayh, someone who adds absolutely nothing to the ticket and results in the loss of a Senate seat.

All Senators form states with Republican governors should be banned for VP consideration, period. Unless the state has a system like Wyoming.

[Mr. Morden]

Clinton's now at her lowest point in "winning individual" since about March 2007:

Obama 37.0
Clinton 23.5
McCain 13.6
Giuliani 11.1
Huckabee 4.5
Romney 4.2

McCain barely edges out Pawlenty for 2nd place in the GOP VP market:

Huckabee 18.0
McCain 9.9
Pawlenty 9.8
Romney 6.9
Gingrich 6.3
Thompson 5.8

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Obama is the definite front-runner.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Obama 60.0
Clinton 38.0
Edwards 2.0
Gore 0.9
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 82.0
Clinton 15.0
Edwards 1.0
Richardson 0.1




REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 33.3
Giuliani 31.5
Huckabee 15.5
Romney 12.0
Paul 4.3
Thompson 2.1
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1

New Hampshire
McCain 78.0
Romney 13.5
Huckabee 2.6
Paul 2.0 (Field)
Giuliani 0.4
Thompson 0.2


Obama this last week:



Clinton this last week:

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

LOL. I predicted Hillary below 40 if she lost NH. She's there even before NH.

[True Democrat]

Once again, this proves that Tradesports buyers are much too reactionary.  It is definitely possible for Obama to have a lead, but by that margin is a bit much, especially after only one primary.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Giuliani hasn't been tanking anywhere near where he should be.

[Flying Dog]

Giuliani hasn't been tanking anywhere near where he should be.

And he's actually gone UP after Iowa!

[Reignman]

Once again, this proves that Tradesports buyers are much too reactionary.  It is definitely possible for Obama to have a lead, but by that margin is a bit much, especially after only one primary.

It looks like he's surged ahead in New Hampshire.

[© tweed]

IEM closing prices last night...

Obama 66.4
Clinton 32.0
Edwards 3.1
Rest of Field 0.4

McCain 35.1
Giuliani 26.6
Romney 18.0
Huckabee 15.4
Rest of Field 2.8
Thompson 2.4

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Obama leads Clinton by over 2-1.

Despite coming in only 4th in IA, it's been a great week for McCain.

DEMOCRATS

Nomination
Obama 64.0
Clinton 31.6
Edwards 2.8
Gore 0.9
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

New Hampshire
Obama 91.0
Clinton 8.7
Edwards 0.6




REPUBLICANS

Nomination
McCain 38.0
Giuliani 30.3
Huckabee 15.0
Romney 12.5
Paul 4.2
Thompson 2.4
Gingrich 0.4
Rice 0.3
Bloomberg 0.2
Hunter 0.1

New Hampshire
McCain 83.9
Romney 14.1
Paul 2.6 (Field)
Huckabee 0.9
Giuliani 0.5

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Hillary drops below 30. LOL.

Obama 68.4
Clinton 29.5
Edwards 2.0
Gore 0.7
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

[True Democrat]

Hillary drops below 30. LOL.

Obama 68.4
Clinton 29.5
Edwards 2.0
Gore 0.7
Richardson 0.2
Biden 0.1

LOL OVERREACTION LOL

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Seriously.  Clinton under 30 is a terrific bargain.

[Sam Spade]

Seriously.  Clinton under 30 is a terrific bargain.

After she loses NH, it'll fall under 20.  Personally, I would be waiting for somewhere around 15 to start buying again.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

If InTrade overracts so much why is Giuliani going nowhere when he shouldn't even be in double digits?