Bernie, especially since I live in a safe R state.
Florida is a safe R state?
Hillary, of course.
Bush was Governor there and Hillary and bernie would split the dem. and liberal vote. So I think SJoyce is right.
Bernie, of course.
Well, it depends what type of third party Sanders would be. Would he be a Nader like candidate who attracts only a few percent? If that's the case, he would only have an impact in the closest of states, so Hillary would still be in decent shape. Of course, if it ends up being a Perot-like candidate, Bush's victory would be certain, with the only question being the margin. I'm much more inclined to believe the former than the latter, since the latter would require vast discontent about Hillary in the Democratic Party, which is not present at the moment.
Of course, this is all academic anyway, since Sanders stated that if he ran it would be in the Democratic primary, not as an independent.
Not all of Sanders votes have to come out of the Democratic party. There's left-leaning independents, of course, and he could benefit from general discontent with the political system, with many potentially upset at the idea of the race being between a Clinton and a Bush.
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