Which State Will Elect a Republican Congressman First (user search)
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  Which State Will Elect a Republican Congressman First (search mode)
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Poll
Question: ?
#1
Connecticut
 
#2
Massachusetts
 
#3
Rhode Island
 
#4
Vermont
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: Which State Will Elect a Republican Congressman First  (Read 1883 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
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Posts: 41,635
United States


« on: March 04, 2015, 02:59:08 PM »
« edited: March 04, 2015, 03:01:01 PM by TimTurner »

Connecticut is very likely certain for first, because they less than a decade ago actually had a majority Republican house delegation.
Northeastern Massachusetts after that, then Vermont or Rhode Island (I'm not sure who'd be last).
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,635
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2015, 04:15:42 PM »

Well in 2005-6, CT had Rob Simmons (CT-2), Chris Shays (CT-4), and Nancy Johnson (CT-5).  Shays was the only one to survive the 2006 midterms, but then fell thanks to the Obama tsunami.  So CT-4 was the last to elect a Republican.
CT-4 has a PVI of D+5, and CT-5 has a PVI of D+3.  So your guess should be on spot.
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