2016 Congressional Primaries

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So are the rules the same for House primaries where the person has to get above 40% in order to avoid a primary?

Normally yes, but for this cycle only the legislature has waived the requirement (the House primaries were delayed by redistricting to the normal runoff date, today, and they decided not to pay for later elections). 21% will be an outright victory for Budd if that's all first place takes.

Are you sure about that?

From politics1:
JULY 12, 2016:
Delaware - Filing Deadline (Major Parties)
Georgia - Filing Deadline (Minor Parties & Independents)
North Carolina - Primary Runoff

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US HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES DISTRICT 2 - REP (VOTE FOR 1)
Precincts Reported: 158 of 158   
View Contest Details
NAME ON BALLOT   PARTY   BALLOT COUNT   PERCENT
George Holding   REP   16,999   53.38%
Renee Ellmers   REP   7,527   23.64%
Greg Brannon   REP   7,320   22.99%


Little known North Carolina election law: if the winner receives under 17,000 votes, the primary has to be re held.   (j/k)

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California 49

District 49
100.0% ( 400 of 400 ) precincts partially reporting as of June 8, 2016, 4:24 a.m. See FAQs for additional information on how precincts reporting information is determined.
Candidate   Votes   Percent
    Doug Applegate
(Party Preference: DEM)   49,792   
45.4%
*   Darrell Issa
(Party Preference: REP)   56,013   
51.1%
    Ryan Glenn Wingo
(Party Preference: NPP)   3,764   
3.4%

I don't know if this close result is just a result of Democrats having more incentive to turn out for the California primary or if POS Darrell Issa will face a close race in November.

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Roger Marshall leads Representative Huelskamp 812-442 with one precinct reporting.

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4/1338 Precincts
Roger Marshall 1,019
Tim Huelskamp 615

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5/1338 Precincts
Roger Marshall 1,306
Tim Huelskamp 811

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11/1338 Precincts
Roger Marshall 1,604
Tim Huelskamp 982

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30/1338 Precincts
Roger Marshall 2,703
Tim Huelskamp 1,756

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45/1338 Precincts
Roger Marshall 3,945
Tim Huelskamp 2,443

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108/1338 Precincts
Roger Marshall 5,908
Tim Huelskamp 3,985

Looks like another Republican House member is about to go down.

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Democratic Primary for Missouri Attorney General is going back and forth.

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152/1338 Precincts
Roger Marshall 7,872
Tim Huelskamp 6,069

Huelskamp has closed the gap slightly.

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Something interesting/unfortunate for WA Dems:

WA Treasurer Primary: 54% in

Davidson (R) 25%
Waite (R) 23%
Liias (D) 19%
Comerford (D) 19%
Fisken (D) 14%

If this result holds, you'll have two Republicans in deep blue Washington on the ballot.

This would seem to be a case of what I said was wrong with the Jungle Primary, the Democrats combined her for 52% of the vote (it declined to 51% with all the votes counted so far) yet it's the two Republicans who made the runoff.

However, in this case the Republican Davidson likely has a fair amount of support from Democrats. Davidson is a county treasurer and he was endorsed by many of his fellow Washington State county treasurers, both Democratic and Republican.

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WA-9 first slot to Smith!
WA-10 slots to Heck and Postma!

Interesting note - Heck (D) is only up 47-37 on Postma (R). The other candidates are third party/independent. Maybe worth keeping an eye on this seat if a Trumpslide develops.

Even a Jungle Primary result is not necessarily all that meaningful.  According to the Secretary of State website, maybe 1 million votes will have been cast in the primary.

There will probably be more than 3 million votes cast in the general election in Washington State.

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Proud of my state, and happy to see FF Jayapal triggering people who assume she's a socialist because Bernie endorsed her. Yeah, Murray and Inslee are safe, and so is Heck.

There was a socialist elected to the Seattle City Council, my guess is that the people here believe Jayapal is that person.  Jayapal is a Democratic State Senator, not a Seattle City Councilor.

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Updated Washington 7 Second Place
Brady Piñero Walkinshaw 24,285
Joe McDermott 23,798

On the Washington State Secretary of State Website they have a link on the candidate's name that allows them to send in some information about themselves and write a statement.

This is the statement by Republican First District candidate Robert Sutherland, who advanced to the runoff:

"Statement: Professional politicians are dividing Americans, between Left vs Right, Rich vs Poor, Black vs White. I will fight for everyone’s Rights in the US Constitution and to limit the federal government’s involvement into every aspect of our personal lives, including NSA spying on innocent Americans, which doctors we can or cannot go see, or allowing men into girls restrooms. Enough already, you’re fired.

Meanwhile Congress is bankrupting the Country with their never-ending deficit spending on foreign aid, ever-increasing welfare programs and endless wars on drugs, poverty and terror. I will fight for a balanced budget and debt reduction so we don’t pass on to our children a debt so large they will struggle to pay it back.

Like Ronald Reagan I consider myself a “Citizen Politician”, having spent most of my life outside of politics. Like JF Kennedy I believe “Ask not what your Country can do for you. Ask what you can do for your Country.” And like Martin Luther King JR. I believe we should “judge a man not by the color of his skin but by the content of his character.”

A “rising tide lifts all boats”. Lowering the tax burden on American companies to globally competitive rates will jump-start our economy, create jobs and lift wages. “Give a man a fish, feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish, feed him for life.” Let’s help those who need our help, not by giving them endless free stuff but by teaching them the necessary skills they need to become proud, productive members of our community, lowering deficit spending.

Secure our borders. Heal our sick veterans. 0% student loans. No freeway tolls. Only citizens can vote. Replace Obamacare. End the IRS, BLM, DOE, ATF. Jail corrupt politicians. Go Hawks."

I wonder if Sutherland talks in idiotic talking points and cliches as well.

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0.4% Reporting
Starrett 39
Desjarlais 37

Go Starrett!

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Updated 7th District Primary Numbers
Pramila Jayapal 55,001, 40.02%
Brady Pinero Walkinshaw 29,334, 21.34%
Joe McDermott, 28,112 20.45%

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TN-8: Kustoff now ahead of Flinn 27%-24%. State Sen. Brian Kelsey, generally presumed before the election to have been the frontrunner, still in fifth place with 13%.

Kustoff, establishment or tea party?

He is a former U.S Attorney, so probably establishment.

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Associated Press called the race for DesJarlais.

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Possible upset brewing in Paul Ryan's Congressional District!

Ryan Solen is ahead of Tom Breu in the Democratic Primary.

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Kline (the retiring rep.) endorsed Miller, and the state GOP endorsed Lewis. I don't know anything else.

State GOP at their convention, just to be an annoying completist.

I understand Miller was the establishment choice, but that she had a hard time competing with Lewis' high profile.

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Former school trustee Mary Hoeft is well ahead of Marathon County Supervisor Joel Lewis in Wisconsin 7th.  Is that an upset?

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Nehlen is up to 16.3% of the vote now.  If you unskew this vote, Nehlen should wind up winning in a landslide!

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Former school trustee Mary Hoeft is well ahead of Marathon County Supervisor Joel Lewis in Wisconsin 7th.  Is that an upset?

No, she was endorsed by former Congressman Dave Obey as well as pretty much all the other Dem elected officials and party officials in the district http://www.maryhoeftforcongress.com/endorsements/ Interestingly enough a former coworker of mine is on this list.

Thanks for the information.