latest Betfair odds (user search)
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Author Topic: latest Betfair odds  (Read 120196 times)
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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*****
Posts: 14,784
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #25 on: February 24, 2016, 01:11:13 AM »

TRUMP 73
Lavenous Homo 28
Maple Syrup 6

MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,784
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #26 on: February 29, 2016, 11:15:46 AM »

Wtf?! The Trumpster has 77% chance? I'd give him 51% now, with 49% for Marco.

He's going to get demolished on Super Tuesday, and is down 20 points in his home state.  How on earth did you arrive at 49%?

Maybe wishful thinking; I have to admit, although I don't support Marco at all. If Rubio performs well on Super Tuesday, it may come down a head-to-head race. The Trumpster may lose this, since he's a poor debater and has so much opposition within the Republican Party.

A. Trump is a fantastic debater. Went at it for 30 minutes last time out.
B. There are very likely to be no more debates since Trump is the presumptive nominee at this point
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,784
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #27 on: March 01, 2016, 11:07:32 AM »

GOP PredictIt
Massachusetts: Trump 99, Rubio 2
Alabama: Trump 99, Rubio 3
Tennessee: Trump 98, Cruz 3, Rubio 3
Oklahoma: Trump 97, Cruz 7, Rubio 5
Georgia: Trump 96, Rubio 5
Vermont: Trump 94, Rubio 7, Kasich 5
Alaska: Trump 91, Cruz 10, Rubio 5, Kasich 2
Virginia: Trump 90, Rubio 10
Arkansas: Trump 80, Cruz 22, Rubio 6
Minnesota: Trump 65, Rubio 34, Cruz 5
Texas: Cruz 87, Trump 17

Still some free money out there on Virginia and Vermont

Vermont: Bernie 100, Hillary 1
Oklahoma: Hillary 58, Bernie 48
Colorado: Hillary 64, Bernie 35
Minnesota: Hillary 77, Bernie 29
Massachusetts: Hillary 84, Bernie 20
Arkansas: Hillary 98, Bernie 1
Texas: Hillary 100, Bernie 3
Virginia: Hillary 100, Bernie 2
Georgia: Hillary 100, Bernie 1
Tennessee: Hillary 100, Bernie 2
Alabama: Hillary 100, Bernie 1

100 indicates there are no ask offers as there is no risk in waiting one day for the guaranteed payout.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,784
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #28 on: March 02, 2016, 12:02:53 PM »

Lots of movement among the brokered convention crowd on PredictIt, however.

Trump 75 (-5)
Rubio 13
Cruz 11 (+7)
Ryan 5
Kasich 5
Romney 3
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,784
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #29 on: March 30, 2016, 05:05:46 PM »

On PredictIt Trump is crashing big time in the wake of his abortion comments.  Cruz is surging.

Trump 53
Cruz 30



LOL! Trump doesn't like abortion! Guess I'll vote for Cruz now Roll Eyes

The analysis on this site keeps getting worse and worse. This drop is from far before the comments.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,784
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #30 on: April 08, 2016, 08:59:55 AM »

Sanders odds went up about 26% in just a week. If he continues to rise he could get the nomination. He is far behind but with a little more good news he could catch up with two months to go. We are at the half way point tomorrow. So there is a lot more reason to hope than most people realize. The fuzzy math showing his odds so low should not be trusted.

He is now about even with Clinton in national polls.

That's not how this works. That's not how any of this works.

I'm starting to think me making so much money this year has little to do with me being knowledgeable and much more to do with Sanders people (and establishment Republicans in the case of Bush) being so completely deluded that it's impossible not to make money.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,784
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

« Reply #31 on: April 15, 2016, 04:09:58 PM »

Wow, Trump skyrockets again on PredictIt:

Trump 59
Cruz 30
Kasich 11
Ryan 6
Romney 4

I just sold 40% of my Yes stake in this market.
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