If Ds win the Senate in 2018, probability it was due to an "out of class" flip? (user search)
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  If Ds win the Senate in 2018, probability it was due to an "out of class" flip? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Given a D-Senate, what's the probability it arose due to appointment/special election/party switch?
#1
0-10%		  
#2
10-20%		  
#3
20-30%		  
#4
30-40%		  
#5
40-50%		  
#6
50-60%		  
#7
60-70%		  
#8
70-80%		  
#9
80%-90%		  
#10
90-100%		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: If Ds win the Senate in 2018, probability it was due to an "out of class" flip?  (Read 2828 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Political Matrix
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« on: January 11, 2017, 09:57:15 PM »
It would be due to either that or a three way race in Utah. Probably a 30% chance it was Utah, so 70% chance for out of class.
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