cinyc
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Posts: 12,719
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« on: November 13, 2016, 11:09:13 PM » |
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I'll probably update the county map PVI project when we get official results. No sense doing so before then, as it would have to be redone, and it gives me something to do in the off-season.
Most PVI bellwether counties weren't good bellwethers this cycle, anyway, so I question its usefulness. I suspect we're going to get a lot of trending in the new PVI counties from last cycle to this, too.
I haven't checked all of the national PVI bellwethers, but Washoe County, NV may have done better than many of the others at predicting the national margin. Educated counties like Loudoun, VA and Los Alamos, NM were way off as those with college degrees skewed Clinton.
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