2008 Presidential Election: Game Thread

[Maxwell]

Howard Dean For America Schedule - January 4th-6th, 2008



"We continue to be the campaign with the momentum. My good friend in the Senate, John Kerry gave us his endorsement after ending his bid, and I think he has done a very good deal for our country. Our work is not yet done, we need to get all of our volunteers, activists, out there and make sure that every one who has a vote to give gives their vote and when all's said in done, democracy is full represented. New Hampshire, we can bring turnout records, and we are going to do so in the primary!"

January 4th, 2008 (with John Kerry, Bill Bradley, and Carol Shea-Porter)
Meet and Greet in Salem, New Hampshire
GOTV Rally in Nashua, New Hampshire
GOTV Rally in Manchester, New Hampshire
Barnstorming in Concord, New Hamphisre
GOTV Rally in Rochester, New Hampshire
Debate Prep
Debate

January 5th, 2008 (with John Kerry, Bill Bradley, and Carol Shea-Porter)
Press Appearances
GOTV Rally in Dover, New Hampshire
Barnstorming in Portsmouth, New Hampshire
GOTV Rally in Hampton, New Hampshire
Meet and Greet in Raymond, New Hampshire
More Press Apearances

"The promise of America should not just be for those already well off, but for everybody. The promise of the pursuit of happiness. We need to make it so that everyone has a voice, and everyone has a prayer to make their American dream. Our forefathers worked hard and succeeded, and every passing generation needs the same opportunity. We need to help those in poverty, not belittle them. We need to expand access to basic healthcare, not demolish. We need to offer the best education everywhere, not just to wealthy school districts who can afford it. I promise you change from the status quo, the Bush-Giuliani where money buys speech. I won't fight for them. I'll fight for you!"

January 6th, 2008 (with John Kerry, Carol Shea-Porter, and Al Gore)
GOTV in Northern New Hampshire
GOTV in Southern New Hampshire
Victory Party at Headquarters in Dover

[NewYorkExpress]

Hillary Clinton Debate Answers

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You don't have to be passionate about a candidate to vote for them. You simply have to believe that individual is right fit for the office they are seeking, and that's a completely different thing than passion.

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I consider myself my own person, both in life and in politics, but if someone wants to call me a liberal, I'm not going to discourage that.

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I think we should make sure we have a nominee before we worry about who's going to start endorsing who, as nobody really wants a brokered convention.

[NewYorkExpress]

Countdown to New Hampshire; Schedule for Hillary Clinton

January 4, 2008

GOTV in Boscawen, New Hampshire

GOTV in Henniker, New Hampshire

GOTV at Rivier University, Nashua, New Hampshire (With Dick Celeste and Maggie Hassan)

GOTV in Deering, New Hampshire

GOTV in Litchfield, New Hampshire

January 5, 2008

GOTV in Hooksett, New Hampshire (With John Melcher)

GOTV in Newbury, New Hampshire

GOTV in Franklin, New Hampshire (With Janet Reno)

GOTV in Keene, New Hampshire

January 6, 2008

GOTV in Swanzey, New Hampshire

GOTV in Winchester, New Hampshire (With Rea Carey, Christine Quinn and John LaFalce)

GOTV in Dublin, New Hampshire

Meet Voters in Durand, Michigan (With Laura Tyson, Dick Durbin and Jennifer Granholm)

[badgate]

OOC: Posts are coming before HOP.

[PPT Spiral]

Mark Sanford Campaign Schedule: January 4-6

January 4
-Barnstorming in Forest Acres, SC
-Barnstorming in York, SC
-Barnstorming in Lexington, SC
-Barnstorming in Newberry, SC
-Interviews with local media

January 5
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Claremont, NH
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Milford, NH
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Poprtsmouth, NH
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Hudson, NH
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Merrimack, NH

January 6
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Derry, NH
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Nashua, NH
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Concord, NH
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Manchester, NH
-Election Night Rally in Manchester, NH

[badgate]

Lincoln Campaign Schedule
Jan. 4-6, 2008

January 4 New Hampshire
-9:00am - Meeting with campaign staff at hotel in New Hampshire
-12:00pm - Debate prep
-5:00pm - Arrive at debate site
-11:00pm - Fly to Florida

January 5 Florida
-10:00am - Meet & Greet in Leesburg
-12:00pm - Rally in Orlando
-2:00pm - Town Hall in Kissimmee
-4:00pm - Town Hall in St. Cloud
-6:45pm - Rally in Lakeland
-9:00pm - Thanking volunteers at a Lakeland phone bank

January 6 Florida
-8:00am - Drivetime radio interview in Tampa
-10:00am - Student Forum at University of South Florida-Tampa
-1:00pm - Rally in Tampa
-3:00pm - Town Hall in Town N' Country
-5:00pm - Meet & Greet in Clearwater
-7:00pm - Rally in St. Petersburg

[NHI]

Round 12: January 7-8, 2008

The final stretch before the all important New Hampshire primary and the race for the Democratic Nomination couldn't be tighter! After a recount in the Iowa Caucuses, Howard Dean's first place victory was certified, but the polls in New Hampshire continue to show a tight contest between Dean and second place finisher in Iowa Evan Bayh. Hillary Clinton is polling strong at third, followed by Blanche Lincoln, who is pulling up the rear.

John Kerry announced his departure from the race a few days ago, throwing his support behind Dean, giving the Vermont Governor momentum as he makes his closing arguments. The candidates had a chance to face off in a final debate before the primary, hoping to sway those few undecided voters. Pundits gave high points to Dean and Bayh for their performances as well as to Clinton, who has assumed an underdog status in this race and could be the dark horse on primary day. "New Hampshire has always loved the Clinton and she is hoping to count on that with a win on Tuesday. It happened four years ago and she needs to repeat it again." -- James Pindell, WMUR 9.

On the Republican side President Giuliani continues to hold onto an impressive lead over Mark Sanford. Giuliani won another victory in the Republican Primary, with a second win in the Wyoming Caucuses. Giuliani trounced Sanford 61 percent to 39 percent. Sanford has looked to focus his efforts on the upcoming South Carolina Primary, where a win is essential for his campaign to survive. Current polls put Giuliani head 53 percent to 42 percent, but the race is tightening and Sanford is hoping his home state advantage will put him over the top.

WMUR New Hampshire Primary: Democrats (Dean +1)

Howard Dean: 26%
Evan Bayh: 25%
Hillary Clinton: 25%
Blanche Lincoln: 17%
Undecided: 6%

WMUR New Hampshire Primary: Republicans

Rudy Giuliani: 67%
Mark Sanford: 31%
Undecided: 2%

-----------------

RCP NH: Democratic Primary (Dean +0.5)

Dean: 24.5%
Bayh: 24.0%
Clinton: 23.0%
Lincoln: 18.7%
Undecided: 9.8%

--------
Insider: 1/2/08-1/7/08
Dean: 25%
Bayh: 24%
Clinton: 23%
Lincoln: 19%

PPP: 1/3/08-1/7/08
Dean: 25%
Bayh: 24%
Clinton: 22%
Lincoln: 19%

CNN/Time: 1/4/08-1/7/08
Dean: 24%
Bayh: 24%
Clinton: 23%
Lincoln: 18%

Suffolk University Poll: 1/5/08-1/7/08
Dean: 24%
Bayh: 24%
Clinton: 24%
Lincoln: 19%

---------------------

WMUR General Election Poll:

Rudy Giuliani: 50%

Evan Bayh: 45%

Rudy Giuliani: 50%

Hillary Clinton: 44%

Rudy Giuliani: 51%

Howard Dean: 46%

Rudy Giuliani: 51%

Blanche Lincoln: 43%

2008 Electoral Map as of January 2008

President Giuliani: 216

Generic Democrat: 167

Tossup: 155

2004 Results:

√ (R) Rudy Giuliani: 307 (36.7%)

(D) Joe Biden: 195 (34.8%)

(L) Gary Johnson: 21 (14.6%)

(G) Dennis Kucinich: 15 (13.7%)

Other: 0 (0.2%)

This Round will close Tuesday at 11:59 pm EST, results of the NH primary will be up on Wednesday morning.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

MISTAKE: The January 5-6 will be the schedule for January 7-8

[NHI]

Upcoming Contests:

Michigan Primary: January 15th

Nevada & South Carolina Primaries: January 19th

Florida Primary: January 29th

Michigan Democrat: (Bayh +5)

Bayh: 30%
Dean: 25%
Clinton: 24%
Lincoln: 16%

Nevada Democrat: (Dean +1)

Dean: 26%
Clinton: 25%
Bayh: 24%
Lincoln: 20%

South Carolina: Democrat (Lincoln +6)

Lincoln: 29%
Clinton: 23%
Bayh: 21%
Dean: 21%

Florida: Democrats (Lincoln +2)

Lincoln: 26%
Clinton: 24%
Bayh: 24%
Dean: 23%

Michigan Republican: (Giuliani +42)

Bayh: 68%
Sanford: 26%

Nevada Republican: (Giuliani +37)

Dean: 67%
Sanford: 30%

South Carolina: Republican (Giuliani +11)

Giuliani: 53%

Sanford: 42%

Florida: Republican (Giuliani +27)

Giuliani: 62%
Sanford: 35%

National Polling: Democrats (Dean +2)

Dean: 27%
Bayh: 25%
Clinton: 23%
Lincoln: 19%
Undecided: 6%

National Polling: Republicans (Giuliani +35)

Giuliani: 66%
Sanford: 31%
Undecided: 3%

------

Four-Way Race Polling: Gallup

(R) Rudy Giuliani: 36% (+4)

(D) Howard Dean: 32%

(I) Michael Bloomberg: 15%
(L) Jesse Ventura: 11%

(R) Rudy Giuliani: 37% (+4)

(D) Evan Bayh: 33%

(I) Michael Bloomberg: 14%
(L) Jesse Ventura: 12%

(R) Rudy Giuliani: 36% (+6)

(D) Hillary Clinton: 30%

(I) Michael Bloomberg: 16%
(L) Jesse Ventura: 10%

(R) Rudy Giuliani: 38% (+8)

(D) Blanche Lincoln: 30%

(I) Michael Bloomberg: 16%
(L) Jesse Ventura: 10%

Gallup: Avg (Four-way Race) Giuliani +5.5

(R) Rudy Giuliani: 36.7%

Generic Democrat: 31.2%

(I) Michael Bloomberg: 15.2%
(L) Jesse Ventura: 10.7%

Undecided/Other: 6.2%

[NewYorkExpress]

Hillary Clinton-New Endorsements

Lieutenant Governor Mitch Landrieu (D-LA)


Washington D.C Mayor Adrian Fenty


Former Governor Bob Miller (D-NV)


Former Senator Richard Bryan (D-NV)


Governor John Lynch (D-NH)

[NHI]

NBC News/Marist Poll: NH Primary (Democrats)

Dean: 26%
Bayh: 25%
Clinton: 25%
Lincoln: 19%

NBC News/Marist Poll: NH Primary (Republicans)

Giuliani: 67%
Sanford: 31%

[PPT Spiral]

Could we get some numbers for Senate races this year?

[DKrol]

Statement from the Giuliani Campaign

President Giuliani would like to thank the great people of Wyoming for giving him their support, their votes, and their delegates. This is a further sign of President Giuliani's impending victory over Governor Sanford in the Republican Primary. The campaign once more asks Governor Sanford to withdraw from the race, allowing the Republican Party to unite around the President and grow our party's lead for the General Election.

[NHI]

Could we get some numbers for Senate races this year?

NH Senate: R Inc

(R) John Sununu: 49%
(D) Jeanne Shaheen: 47%

NC Senate: R Inc

(R) Elizabeth Dole: 50%
Kay Hagan: 46%

MN Senate: R Inc

(R) Norm Coleman: 48%
(D) Al Franken: 47%

CO Senate: R Inc (Open)

(D) Mark Udall: 47%

(R) Bob Schaffer: 45%

OR Senate: R Inc

(R) Gordon Smith: 50%
(D) Jeff Merkley: 43%

[DKrol]

Rudy Giuliani Campaign Schedule for Jan. 7th-8th, 2008

President Giuliani's 2008 Campaign Staff
Honorary Co-Chairmen: Dick Cheney and Tim Pawlenty
Campaign Manager: Mary Matalin
Chief of Staff: Joe Allbaugh
Press Secretary: Dana Perino
Finance Director: Fred Malek
Chief Pollsters: Neil Newhouse and Bill McInturff
Co-Directors of the Vice Presidential Search Committee: Kay Hutchison, Beth Myers, and Matt Rhodes

January 7th, 2008; South Carolina
-- Meeting with Sen. Graham and Sen. DeMint
-- Speech to the Charleston Metro Chamber of Commerce
-- Speech to campaign volunteers in Concord, NH via Skype
-- Read to students at Angel Oak Elementary School in Charleston, SC
-- Meeting with the Charleston American Legion Post
-- Fly to New Hampshire

January 8th, 2008; New Hampshire
-- Have breakfast with voters at diners in Hanover, NH
-- Speech to the Dartmouth College Republicans
-- Participate in a panel on Electoral Ethics at Dartmouth College
-- Briefing on National Security Affairs aboard Air Force One
-- Appearance on Fox News Election Coverage
-- Election Night Rally at Saint Anselm College

[NHI]

Direct Election of the President? Coming Soon to a Ballot Box Near You

More states are taking up discussion of the proposed Popular Vote Amendment, the latest being Maine and Vermont. Pundits believe at the very earliest the measure could go into effect by the 2012 Presidential Election. The measure would abolish the electoral college system of electing the President and Vice President and replace it with a popular vote system. The short of it, the tickets that wins the most votes becomes President and Vice President of the United States. Efforts to abolish the electoral college began in earnest after the 2004 Presidential Election. In his victory, President Giuliani was elected with 307 electoral votes, compared to 195 electoral votes for Joe Biden, while winning a meager 36 percent of the vote, compared to Biden's 34 percent.

Pundits believe, despite the presence of two other candidates on the ballot this year, the race will be tighter between President Giuliani and the eventual Democratic nominee, with Larry Sabot offering his prediction of the popular vote winner, "Whoever wins, Giuliani or the Democrat, it'll be close, probably closer than last time, but I think the winner may squeak by with higher plurality, maybe 39 or 40 percent of the vote."

Polls continue to put Giuliani in the lead over his Democratic and third party challengers. The latest polling average put Giuliani up with 36 percent of the vote in a four man race.

[badgate]

Lincoln Endorsements

Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI)
"Blanche Lincoln is the single best option on the Democratic primary ballot. Democrats across Michigan will soon know the Blanche I know: a fighter for the hardworking people of this country and a proponent of strong progressive values." - to the Detroit Free Press


Rep. John Dingell (D-MI)
"America is ready for a woman as President, and Blanche Lincoln is the woman to support in the Michigan Democratic primary." - to the Ann Arbor paper & Detroit Free Press


Florida Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL)
"I wasn't planning to endorse until Blanche jumped into the fray. If the polls can be believed, Floridans already know that she is the best and most qualified and honorable candidate for President. We can rest assured that Blanche will never turn her back on the people of this country." - to the Miami Herald


Frmr. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers
"I can't tell you how many calls I've gotten of gratitude and encouragement. A lot of prominent people- like me, who were once intimidated to endorse anyone but a Clinton, are now ready to break from their cult of personality. Democrats know that Blanche Lincoln is the best candidate to handle our stagnant economy." - to the New York Times; also quoted in TIME, Washington Post, & Hartford Currant


Frmr. Virginia Governor & Senate Candidate Mark Warner
"I can't think of a single reason Democrats can trust Howard Dean. He claimed party loyalty in the last debate, but look at his record. Who did he vote for in 2004? Who did he campaign for? Was it a Democrat? No. Blanche Lincoln has never broken a promise. She was one of the most studious and hardworking members of the U.S. Senate and has executive experience that will guide her hand as President." - to Washington Post, also quoted in The Norfolk Daily News & Richmond Times-Dispatch

[NewYorkExpress]

Lincoln Endorsements

Gov. Jennifer Granholm (D-MI)
"America is ready for a woman as President, and Blanche Lincoln is the woman to support in the Michigan Democratic primary." - to the Ann Arbor paper & Detroit Free Press

I've had Granholm for several turns... If she switched candidates let me know, because I'd want an extra endorsement.

[badgate]

Lincoln Campaign Schedule

January 7 Michigan
9:00am - Meet & Greet with volunteers in Detroit
9:45am - Press Conference with Sen. Carl Levin Senator Carl Levin endorses Blanche Lincoln for President
12:30am - Rally in Detroit with Sen. Levin
2:30pm - Town Hall in Ann Arbor
3:45pm - Barnstorming in Ypsilanti, w/ Sen. Levin
5:00pm - Barnstorming in Westland, w/ Sen. Levin
6:00pm - Rally in Dearborn, w/ Sen. Levin
8:30pm - Fundraiser in Detroit, w/ Sen. Levin & Gov. Granholm

January 8 Michigan
10:00am - Meet & Greet at The Fleetwood Diner in Lansing, w/ Rep. Dingell
11:30am - Town Hall in Lansing
12:45pm - Barnstorming in Grand Ledge, w/ Rep. Dingell
2:00pm - Barnstorming in Portland, w/ Rep. Dingell
4:30pm - Rally in Grand Rapids, w/ Rep. Dingell Representative John Dingell endorses Blanche Lincoln for President
5:45pm - Speaking before group of retirement communities in Grand Rapids
7:00pm - Rally in Wyoming, w/ Rep. Dingell
9:00pm - Meet & Greet with volunteers after phone bank in Grand Rapids

[NewYorkExpress]

I've had Granholm for several turns now... Does Anyone check prior endorsements before posting theirs anymore?

[badgate]

Surrogates

People:
Rep. James Clyburn (D-SC) - Barnstorming in South Carolina
Sen. Joe Biden (D-DE) - Barnstorming in Michigan
Sen. John Edwards (D-NC) - Barnstorming in Florida
Sen. Dan Mongiardo (D-KY) - Barnstorming in Michigan
Gov. Joe Manchin III (D-WV) - Barnstorming in Rural/Blue Collar Michigan
Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA) Barnstorming in California
Gov. Jodi Rell (R-CT) - Barnstorming in Connecticut
Gov. John Baldacci (D-ME) - Barnstorming in Connecticut
Rep. Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D-FL) - Barnstorming in Florida
Gov. Brian Schweitzer (D-MT) - Barnstorming in Michigan
Rep. James Matheson (D-UT) - Barnstorming in Utah
Gov. Brad Henry (D-OK) - Barnstorming in Florida & Michigan
Rep. Jesse Jackson, Jr. (D-IL) - Barnstorming in Michigan
Sen. Maria Cantwell (D-WA) - Barnstorming in Michigan
Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) - Barnstorming in Michigan
Barbara Ann Radnofsky (D-TX) - Barnstorming in Texas
State Sen. Vincent Sheheen (D-SC) - Barnstorming in South Carolina
Frmr. Gov. Jim Hodges (D-SC) - Barnstorming in South Carolina
Gov. Chet Culver (D-IA) - Barnstorming in Michigan
Gov. Ken Salazar (D-CO) - Barnstorming in Michigan
Gov. Jennifer Granholm (D-MI) Barnstorming in Michigan
Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI) Barnstorming in Michigan
Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) Barnstorming in Florida
Gov. Mark Warner (D-VA) Barnstorming in Florida

Organizations:
NOW - Producing Democratic Primary mailers in support of Blanche
Planned Parenthood - Airing a TV ad focusing on Lincoln's support of women breaking glass ceilings in Florida & Michigan; Sending 20 paid canvassers to Michigan for GOTV; 10 sent to Florida
NAACP - Airing new TV spots in South Carolina and Florida targeting African American support and turnout.
American Federation of Teachers - Sending mailers promoting Lincoln's 5-point anti-poverty agenda and support for women in leadership roles, in the states of MI, SC, FL, & NV
League of Women Voters - Organizing phone banks in Michigan, Florida, & South Carolina
Southern Poverty Law Center - Sending mailers in FL, VA, SC, NC, WV, OH
AFLCIO - Spread 40 paid canvassers to SC, FL, MI, & NV (10 per state)

[badgate]

TV Ad: Time for Change

It's the same stories every day. Another Giuliani crony. Another problem or lack of action.

I'd like to change that. When I worked in Washington, I was a problem-solver who never forgot where she came from.

At the Gates Foundation, I oversaw a multibillion dollar charity that put new roofs over the heads of students and new technology and knowledge at their fingertips. We opened a public defender office in 50 cities that were lacking, and helped cities update gravel roads that cause costly repairs for hardworking Americans.

I'm running for President for you, not for the red carpet. Not for big donors. I'm running to make sure you have a voice in Washington.

TV Ad: Choices

[Lincoln is sitting in a simple chair, speaking to the camera]

LINCOLN: We've all fought so hard in four years to keep the nation from continuing down the path of total war and paranoia. We've seen time and time again that President Giuliani didn't say a single honest word four years ago, and promise after promise is broken.

In the upcoming caucus, we have plenty of choices. But there's only one real choice: the choice to win. With my background and leadership as an executive and a U.S. Senator, I know I can steer America to without getting us lost at sea. This caucus is about who is at the wheel, and you get to show America who to pay attention to. So I'm asking you to caucus for me. I know I'll do you proud.

NARRATOR: For more information and to talk to your neighbors about caucusing for Blanche visit, www.caucuswithblanche.com/

Web Ad

Following the success of the Christmas lip sync video, the campaign has produced a new web ad that airs when someone in Iowa watches a video on YouTube. The ad promotes caucusing for Blanche, highlighting her support for women and her 5-point anti-poverty agenda for America. A second web ad, micro-targeted to videos watched mainly by the 18-29 crowd, focuses on Blanche's support for college students (student loan reform, tuition reform, more Pell Grants) and universal healthcare. All videos include a link to www.caucuswithblanche.com/

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Florida Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL)
"I wasn't planning to endorse until Blanche jumped into the fray. If the polls can be believed, Floridans already know that she is the best and most qualified and honorable candidate for President. We can rest assured that Blanche will never turn her back on the people of this country." - to the Miami Herald

As far as I know, I already got Nelson

[Maxwell]

I've had Granholm for a long long time.

Hey guys, pay attention to endorsements.

[NHI]

I've had Granholm for a long long time.

Hey guys, pay attention to endorsements.

I apologize. I've been operating off a past list that I've neglected to update.