King may flip to GOP in 2015

[Vosem]

That's what runoffs are for, should the Senate be deadlocked, in La or Ga. Either 49-50 or 50/50. We don't anticipate losing both.

Really? That's strange, since historically in Southern runoffs minority and young turnout has dropped off significantly -- especially in Georgia (less so the case in Louisiana). In both races, most likely if it goes to the runoff the Republican has won.

As for the topic of the thread, I'm confident that if it's January 2015 and the Senate is deadlocked, King will side with the Democrats -- while the potential for gains is overstated, 2016 is likelier to see Democratic than Republican gains in the Senate, and King wouldn't want to upset the likelier future majority party (that and he's ideologically a good deal closer to the Democrats anyway).

[Vosem]

See Susan Hyke Terrell, of 2002.

In 2000, more seniors voted for Gore than Bush. The fundamentals were different at that time.

Granted it was a GOP midterm, it was a 911 election. But hopefully we don't see that in La, gaffes of McAllister or Cassidy will help by Election Day, Landrieu achieves 50 percent.

Considering the state Republican party is already denouncing him and it's months before the election, I don't think McAllister will be much of a problem for Cassidy. Cassidy's gaffes as yet don't seem to be hurting him, and you can't really rely on future errors. The runoff system is the Democrats' main Louisiana problem in 2014.