BOLD PREDICTION: 2016 will not be a year xxxx "redux"

[Xing]

Shocking, I know, but my prediction is that 2016 will be a unique election with its own unique set of circumstances, and will not be predicted accurately by cherry-picking outcomes of previous elections to try to prove trends. We can try to predict the outcome, but at least some of the results will be surprising to us, and could very well go against our expectations and trends. Whatever polling bias exists may not be the kind we are expecting, and may not follow any kind of pattern.

Other bold predictions:

AZ and GA will not be competitive (but muh demographics!)
MO will also not be competitive (but muh strong Hilldawg in MO!)
WA and OR will also not be competitive (but muh trend R whites!)
NM will also not be competitive (but muh Hispanic Rubio/Martinez!)
FL will be competitive even if Rubio is the nominee (but muh home state advantage!)
CO will not be Safe R, or even Lean R (but muh weak Hillary in Colordao!)
IA will not be Safe R, or even Lean R (but muh 2014 senate race!)
VA will not be Safe D, or even Lean D (but muh trend D VA!)
PA will be Lean... not Safe or Likely, but Lean D (but muh trend R PA!)
NV will also be Lean D (but muh 2014 Sandovalslide!)
NH will be at least somewhat competitive (but muh sexist women! Sorry, TNV)
And, most importantly...

...


Many electoral truisms will cease to be true after this election (but muh event X hasn't happened under conditions Y and Z EVER!)

Sorry if this extreme prediction offends anyone or causes anyone to go into shock.

[MT Treasurer]

LOL. However, PA is not Lean D if NH and VA are pure Toss-ups.