Because the Dems don't have enough opportunities in 2008...

[Conan]

One of the major TV news channels had it scrolling at the bottom today that he likely wouldn't run. Glad for the great chance of a pick-up, but more importantly, kudos to Warner for his service, a very decnt man.

Great chance? This seat is basically another Santorum vs. Casey for your party if Mark Warner runs.

Davis isn't a freak however.

[Conan]

It's no surprise to hear that John Warner likely won't run. I knew that back when we saw his Q1 fundraising numbers.

If neither Warner nor Kaine run, I'd give the Republicans a very slight advantage in this race.

That's true. Based on Davis's on the issues page, he seems like a moderate semi-decent republican. I think Moran should run if the others don't. He'd probably start as the underdog though.

[Conan]

Has George Allen said anything about a Senate run yet?

He said he has no interest in running again.

He has interest alright..... he is just be realistic however.

[Conan]

tom Davis also comes from a house district which is trending strongly Democratic and if he ran the house seat is likely gone for the GOP.

Uh, I think you're firmly situated in a magical fantasy land where the trees are covered in gumdrops and kittens have wings and crap gold bars.

Davis' district, VA-11, is still an R+3 district.  It'd be a competitive race, but if you think its somehow a safe Democratic pick-up, well...just wash your hands after touching all those "gold bars."

That was in 2004 that it was R+3, I believe. I was amazed when I looked up data on the unflux of people moving into NOVA. Somewhere around 90,000 a year.

[Conan]

tom Davis also comes from a house district which is trending strongly Democratic and if he ran the house seat is likely gone for the GOP.

Uh, I think you're firmly situated in a magical fantasy land where the trees are covered in gumdrops and kittens have wings and crap gold bars.

Davis' district, VA-11, is still an R+3 district.  It'd be a competitive race, but if you think its somehow a safe Democratic pick-up, well...just wash your hands after touching all those "gold bars."

That was in 2004 that it was R+3, I believe. I was amazed when I looked up data on the unflux of people moving into NOVA. Somewhere around 90,000 a year.

His district may be growing, but it's not going to go from R+3 to D+10 overnight.

Oh, I know. I wasnt the one who said it would be definite dem pick up. However, seeing how things are going into 2008, the possibility of the pick up there is very strong.